OptionVotes
NO
YES
1305
766
142
67
1100
977
OptionProbability
Italy
Japan
United Kingdom
Saudi Arabia
Sweden
Germany
South Korea
Australia
Canada
France
India
United Arab Emirates
Poland
Netherlands
Belgium
Norway
Finland
Singapore
Turkey
United States
Spain
Denmark
Greece
72
66
50
34
US or Israel attacks Pickaxe Mountain before Dec 15, 2026
Will Iran hit a hyperscaler data center in the Gulf before 2027?
Will US/Israeli strikes cause a nationwide or multi-province power blackout in Iran lasting at least 24 hours before 2027?
Will all Iran–Iraq land border crossings close to commercial freight simultaneously for 48+ hours before Dec 31, 2026?
43
30
18
17