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Prediction markets for AIR COMPANY

10000+ passenger eVTOLs sold by one company by 2027?

Oct 17, 4:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10%chance

92218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3000

333

By the end of 2029 will there be a UV light company worth $1 billion?

Oct 4, 5:17 PMDec 31, 6:59 AM

23.21%chance

271494

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1167

927

Will a spacecraft powered by SABRE engines reach orbit before 2035?

May 13, 3:52 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

8%chance

191444

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1749

806

Will Taylor Swift use an electric plane for the majority of her air travel by 2035?

Mar 15, 8:21 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12.02%chance

13827

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1362

906

Which will be the first hybrid-propellant rocket to reach orbit?

Apr 4, 1:46 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

8789

OptionProbability

Eris (Gilmour Space)

None reach orbit by EOY 2035

Other

Kestrel V (ATSpace)

Aurora (Reaction Dynamics)

SL1 (HyImpulse)

54

28

6

5

4

4

Will Virgin Galactic still exist in 2030?

Jul 3, 9:49 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

40%chance

3408

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1120

910

Will a spacecraft powered by SABRE engines reach space before 2035?

May 13, 3:42 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

15.26%chance

6270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

275

78

Will the US mass airlift chips from Taiwan if China implements a blockade?

Jul 13, 9:29 AMJan 1, 10:26 AM

33.78%chance

447

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

71

What company will achieve the first successful air-launch to orbit rocket launch from the UK?

Apr 27, 2:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

244

OptionProbability

Other

Virgin Orbit

0

0

Will SABRE be tested in Earth's atmosphere by a free-flying aircraft before 2035?

May 13, 3:30 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.97%chance

242

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

47

Will OceanSky Cruises perform a commercial flight in 2026?

Jun 20, 11:18 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

39.41%chance

212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

62

40

Will Saudi Aramco Emissions end at?

Mar 8, 9:04 PMMar 8, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Below 90

90 - 99

100 - 109

110 - 119

120 - 130

Above 130

17

17

17

17

17

17

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