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Prediction markets for AIR COMPANY

By the end of 2029 will there be a UV light company worth $1 billion?

Oct 4, 5:17 PMDec 31, 6:59 AM

23.21%chance

271494

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1167

927

10000+ passenger eVTOLs sold by one company by 2027?

Oct 17, 4:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.62%chance

71465

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2417

414

Will a spacecraft powered by SABRE engines reach orbit before 2035?

May 13, 3:52 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

8.25%chance

181394

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1699

810

Will Taylor Swift use an electric plane for the majority of her air travel by 2035?

Mar 15, 8:21 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12.02%chance

13827

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1362

906

Which will be the first hybrid-propellant rocket to reach orbit?

Apr 4, 1:46 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

7739

OptionProbability

Eris (Gilmour Space)

None reach orbit by EOY 2035

Other

Aurora (Reaction Dynamics)

Kestrel V (ATSpace)

SL1 (HyImpulse)

60

20

6

5

5

4

air traffic control integrated with grok by end of Trump admin?

Feb 5, 7:27 PMJan 23, 4:59 AM

3.41%chance

12731

OptionVotes

YES

NO

532

19

Will Virgin Galactic still exist in 2030?

Jul 3, 9:49 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

40.69%chance

3391

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1103

922

Will a spacecraft powered by SABRE engines reach space before 2035?

May 13, 3:42 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

15.26%chance

6270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

275

78

Which Money & Macro megatrends for 2026 will be correct?

Dec 25, 1:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8260

OptionProbability

The AI bubble will NOT pop.

China will dominate the global economy.

The trade war will broaden.

More and more governments will hit a debt limit.

China will blockade Taiwan.

80

72

66

44

3

What company will achieve the first successful air-launch to orbit rocket launch from the UK?

Apr 27, 2:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

244

OptionProbability

Other

Virgin Orbit

0

0

Will SABRE be tested in Earth's atmosphere by a free-flying aircraft before 2035?

May 13, 3:30 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.97%chance

242

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

47

Will OceanSky Cruises perform a commercial flight in 2026?

Jun 20, 11:18 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

39.41%chance

212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

62

40

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