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Prediction markets for Air Force One
If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?
May 20, 7:33 AMJan 27, 10:59 PM
44.05%chance
589686
OptionVotes
1127
887
Will the United States Air Force integrate an autonomous, AI-controlled fighter jet, like Lockheed's VISTA X-62, into their active service fleet by 2040?
Feb 24, 1:57 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
73.59%chance
212870
OptionVotes
1221
865
Will solar geoengineering techniques be deployed at any significant scale by 2030? [details in description]
Oct 30, 3:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
35.39%chance
231444
OptionVotes
1386
689
Biden passes away in a foreign country or in flight on Air Force One by end 2026
Oct 16, 8:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
4.04%chance
121188
OptionVotes
576
94
OptionProbability
22
16
16
16
11
10
7
Will an Iranian ballistic missile strike the US/UK base at Diego Garcia before June 1st 2026?
Mar 21, 8:01 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM
21.44%chance
7341
OptionVotes
191
52
OptionVotes
1051
819
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?
Oct 24, 7:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
20%chance
13291
OptionVotes
213
62
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2032?
Oct 24, 7:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
83.17%chance
5140
OptionVotes
156
28
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?
Oct 24, 7:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
78.05%chance
4129
OptionVotes
193
67
Will Iran run out of ballistic missiles before the coalition runs out of interceptors?
Mar 16, 9:29 PMMar 16, 9:28 PM
79%chance
8124
OptionVotes
194
52
Will there be credible confirmation that PLAAF Commander Chang Dingqiu died in detention by 2026-06-30?
Dec 17, 9:38 AMJun 29, 11:59 PM
60.12%chance
462
OptionVotes
323
282