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Prediction markets for Air Products

10000+ passenger eVTOLs sold by one company by 2027?

Oct 17, 4:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10%chance

92218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3000

333

Do high levels of carbon dioxide have significant negative impacts on cognition?

Oct 21, 12:39 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

88.81%chance

351744

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1748

854

Will the next Apple Vision headset be called the "Vision Air"?

Feb 4, 10:45 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

23.95%chance

12857

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1057

656

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.21%chance

14835

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

943

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 13.0 GWh by Dec 2028?

Feb 10, 9:37 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

57.68%chance

3302

OptionVotes

NO

YES

117

86

Strait of Hormuz returns to normal by end of July 2027?

Aug 26, 9:25 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

46.66%chance

5177

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1069

935

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 19.0 GWh by Sep 2029?

Feb 10, 9:40 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

72.01%chance

2119

OptionVotes

NO

YES

160

62

Will biochar intentionally sequester 100gt CO2eq by 2050

Mar 2, 7:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.64%chance

4111

OptionVotes

NO

YES

123

43

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 7.0 GWh by Mar 2028?

Feb 10, 9:34 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

77.41%chance

3109

OptionVotes

NO

YES

185

54

Will Hybrid Air Vehicles sell >0 Airlander 10 before 2029?

Feb 24, 10:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.22%chance

3102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

209

201

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 17.0 GWh by Jun 2029?

Feb 10, 9:39 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

78.66%chance

292

OptionVotes

NO

YES

192

52

Will Saudi Aramco Emissions end at?

Mar 8, 9:04 PMMar 8, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Below 90

90 - 99

100 - 109

110 - 119

120 - 130

Above 130

17

17

17

17

17

17

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