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Prediction markets for Air Products

10000+ passenger eVTOLs sold by one company by 2027?

Oct 17, 4:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10%chance

92218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3000

333

Do high levels of carbon dioxide have significant negative impacts on cognition?

Oct 21, 12:39 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

88.81%chance

351744

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1748

854

How far will the live-action One Piece go?

Mar 24, 12:12 AMMar 23, 10:02 PM

9784

OptionProbability

Alabasta Saga

Sky Island Saga

Water 7 (& Ennies Lobby)

Thriller Bark

Sabaody Archipelago

Amazon Lily

Impel Down

Marineford Arc (& Post War)

Fish-Man Island

Punk Hazard

Dressrosa

Wano

Zou

Whole Cake Island (& Reverie)

Egg Head

Elbaf

96

75

58

47

47

47

47

47

47

47

45

41

39

37

35

32

Will the next Apple Vision headset be called the "Vision Air"?

Feb 4, 10:45 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.73%chance

12757

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1092

556

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.59%chance

12744

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

884

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 5.0 GWh by Dec 2027?

Feb 10, 4:18 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

57.01%chance

4326

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 11.0 GWh by Sep 2028?

Feb 10, 9:36 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

67.64%chance

3232

OptionVotes

NO

YES

145

69

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 1.8 GWh by Mar 2027?

Feb 10, 9:32 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

36.12%chance

3144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 2.5 GWh by Jun 2027?

Feb 10, 9:32 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

55.14%chance

3126

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

Will Hybrid Air Vehicles sell >0 Airlander 10 before 2029?

Feb 24, 10:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.22%chance

3102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

209

201

Who will be the next host to leave The Five?

Mar 31, 3:30 AMSep 30, 3:26 AM

110

OptionProbability

Harold Ford Jr.

Greg Gutfield

Dana Perino

Jesse Watters

Jessica Tarlov

35

16

16

16

16

Will Saudi Aramco Emissions end at?

Mar 8, 9:04 PMMar 8, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Below 90

90 - 99

100 - 109

110 - 119

120 - 130

Above 130

17

17

17

17

17

17

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