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Prediction markets for Air Products

Do high levels of carbon dioxide have significant negative impacts on cognition?

Oct 21, 12:39 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

88.81%chance

351744

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1748

854

10000+ passenger eVTOLs sold by one company by 2027?

Oct 17, 4:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.62%chance

71465

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2417

414

Will the next Apple Vision headset be called the "Vision Air"?

Feb 4, 10:45 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.73%chance

12757

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1092

556

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.32%chance

10544

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

784

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 0.8 GWh by Sep 2026?

Feb 10, 9:31 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

36.6%chance

7406

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

76

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 5.0 GWh by Dec 2027?

Feb 10, 4:18 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

41.56%chance

3266

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

84

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 11.0 GWh by Sep 2028?

Feb 10, 9:36 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

67.64%chance

3232

OptionVotes

NO

YES

145

69

Will biochar intentionally sequester 100gt CO2eq by 2050

Mar 2, 7:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.64%chance

4111

OptionVotes

NO

YES

123

43

Will Hybrid Air Vehicles sell >0 Airlander 10 before 2029?

Feb 24, 10:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.22%chance

3102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

209

201

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 25.0 GWh by Jun 2030?

Feb 10, 9:43 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

73.35%chance

285

OptionVotes

NO

YES

166

60

Who will be the next host to leave The Five?

Mar 31, 3:30 AMSep 30, 3:26 AM

110

OptionProbability

Harold Ford Jr.

Greg Gutfield

Dana Perino

Jesse Watters

Jessica Tarlov

35

16

16

16

16

Will Saudi Aramco Emissions end at?

Mar 8, 9:04 PMMar 8, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Below 90

90 - 99

100 - 109

110 - 119

120 - 130

Above 130

17

17

17

17

17

17

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