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Prediction markets for Air Products

10000+ passenger eVTOLs sold by one company by 2027?

Oct 17, 4:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10%chance

92218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3000

333

Do high levels of carbon dioxide have significant negative impacts on cognition?

Oct 21, 12:39 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

88.81%chance

351744

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1748

854

Will the next Apple Vision headset be called the "Vision Air"?

Feb 4, 10:45 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.73%chance

12757

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1092

556

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.59%chance

12744

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

884

Will Ariana Madix be on the next season of Vanderpump Rules?

May 12, 3:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.48%chance

4560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

627

16

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 3.5 GWh by Sep 2027?

Feb 10, 9:33 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

56.45%chance

3451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

88

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 15.0 GWh by Mar 2029?

Feb 10, 9:38 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

72.02%chance

3437

OptionVotes

NO

YES

160

62

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 9.0 GWh by Jun 2028?

Feb 10, 9:35 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

56.32%chance

3136

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

88

Will biochar intentionally sequester 100gt CO2eq by 2050

Mar 2, 7:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.64%chance

4111

OptionVotes

NO

YES

123

43

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 7.0 GWh by Mar 2028?

Feb 10, 9:34 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

77.41%chance

3109

OptionVotes

NO

YES

185

54

Will Hybrid Air Vehicles sell >0 Airlander 10 before 2029?

Feb 24, 10:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.22%chance

3102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

209

201

Will Saudi Aramco Emissions end at?

Mar 8, 9:04 PMMar 8, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Below 90

90 - 99

100 - 109

110 - 119

120 - 130

Above 130

17

17

17

17

17

17

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