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Top stories

Blue Jays Beat Tigers 11-4 Behind Eric Lauer’s Eight Innings, Improve to 61-42 for Best AL Record

Blue Jays Beat Tigers 11-4 Behind Eric Lauer’s Eight Innings, Improve to 61-42 for Best AL Record

Authors

3

8 days ago

Prediction markets for AL

Was Hamas using Al-Shifa as a shield for a command centre?

Oct 30, 5:06 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

80.92%chance

14937990

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2227

917

Will Bashar al-Assad survive 2025?

Dec 7, 11:01 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

92.76%chance

6621067

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3570

395

Will Science retract the paper on Wuhan wet market COVID origins (Worobey et al. 2022) by the end of 2025?

Jan 21, 3:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.86%chance

108170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7291

158

Did the IDF bury hundreds of Palestinian civilians in mass graves near Nasser and Al-Shifa hospitals?

Apr 24, 2:46 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

27.33%chance

695805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2438

2205

Will Sarah Anderson et al prove Stability AI, Midjourney, and DeviantArt violated copyright laws in claim 1?

Jan 14, 10:50 PMJan 15, 4:59 AM

18.07%chance

443696

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

841

Were there at least 200 deaths in the Gaza al-Ahli Arab Hospital explosion?

Oct 21, 4:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

73.45%chance

301595

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1364

679

Will Al take 25% of human jobs before 2050?

Jan 7, 4:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.42%chance

51100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

157

136

Bashar and Asma al-Assad married through 2025?

Dec 24, 3:46 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

62.35%chance

9850

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1287

777

Will a "Sharp Left Turn" occur (as described by the Alignment Forum, Nate Soares, and Victoria Krakovna et. al.)?

Apr 12, 8:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.04%chance

19700

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1003

994

Will Al Gore make it to age 95?

Nov 10, 8:00 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

18.68%chance

13681

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1003

939

Will most digital entertainment be Al generated by 2045?

Feb 6, 6:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

63.54%chance

27578

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1096

928

Will an antibiotic peptide from Santos-Junior et al 2024 be used to cure a human of an infection before 2035?

Jun 7, 7:07 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

47.87%chance

375

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1043

958

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