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Prediction markets for Alibaba
Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?
Mar 7, 1:33 AMMar 14, 1:28 AM
19543677
OptionProbability
62
24
9
5
If an AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by eoy 2027, which AI company would be most to blame?
Jan 21, 5:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8516507
OptionProbability
17
16
15
13
11
10
7
6
5
1
1
OptionProbability
33
31
20
5
3
3
3
2
OptionProbability
66
47
32
18
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will Jack MA return as a senior executive to Alibaba by 2026 year end?
Jan 4, 2:36 PMDec 11, 2:59 AM
16.06%chance
796524
OptionVotes
6005
1891
Will significant evidence emerge that Alibaba's ROME AI tried to break free?
Mar 9, 2:45 AMMar 14, 2:43 AM
11.79%chance
354112
OptionVotes
2735
366
OptionProbability
100
100
65
48
21
17
16
15
14
Who will release the first model to be credibly accused of being responsible for at least 100 deaths?
Sep 30, 4:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
292966
OptionProbability
42
19
9
8
5
5
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
OptionProbability
42
38
9
7
2
1
1
1
Will Daniel Zhang (CEO of Alibaba) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Apr 27, 2:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15.48%chance
6125
OptionVotes
217
97
Will Alibaba release an open-source Music Generation AI model in 2026?
Jan 20, 2:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
62.22%chance
485
OptionVotes
128
78
Will Alibaba ($BABA) trade higher or lower by the end of 2033, compared to the end of 2023.
Feb 2, 5:13 AMFeb 1, 10:59 PM
231
OptionProbability
58
15
13
13