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Prediction markets for All Rise News

Will Israel or Iran use a biological, EMP, or dirty bomb in 2025?

Jun 15, 2:20 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

9.88%chance

252358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

302

33

Will Berkshire Hathaway stock rise on the news of Warren Buffet’s death (go up on the next /current trading day)

Jan 15, 1:27 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

21.81%chance

251285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1230

913

The chances of US civil war this year?

Jun 14, 2:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.31%chance

171282

OptionVotes

YES

NO

385

26

Israel deploys nuclear weapons in 2025?

Jun 13, 8:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.66%chance

10964

OptionVotes

YES

NO

605

17

Will some kind of "9/11 but with ships" event happen by the end of 2030?

Apr 3, 3:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.16%chance

14603

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1029

733

A nuclear weapon is used in any conflict before January 1, 2029

Jun 18, 9:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.05%chance

20419

OptionVotes

YES

NO

221

45

Significant AI companion addiction by 2027?

May 18, 5:17 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

90.86%chance

24415

OptionVotes

NO

YES

315

32

Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

Jul 9, 7:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.13%chance

10293

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

72

Will the USA experience power outages due to solar flares in 2025?

Jun 1, 1:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.48%chance

10216

OptionVotes

YES

NO

203

49

Number of alleged Iranian spies caught in Israel from 7.10.2023 until the 31.12.2025

Jun 30, 8:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5151

OptionProbability

50-75

40-49

76-100

100+

30-39

53

19

18

7

3

Major climate relocation policy announced by EOY2025?

Jun 6, 12:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.49%chance

5120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

223

48

What year will a major US AI company have its frontier model weights leaked and or stolen?

Nov 29, 12:17 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

693

OptionProbability

2028

2025

2027

2026

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

Will not happen in any of the given years.

2024

17

16

16

14

6

6

6

6

6

6

2

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