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Prediction markets for Alongside

Will Iran actually participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Mar 1, 2:59 PMJun 10, 11:59 PM

82.18%chance

20859511

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2982

556

MANA MERCH SHOP: Which designs will be added to the mana merch store?

Oct 22, 8:28 PMJul 4, 8:40 PM

9348558

OptionProbability

The Manifold Logo

“Anti gambling gambling club” - by andri

Cranes In Form - by Pat Scott

Trustworthy-ish - by Pat Scott

“Put your Mana where your mouth is” - by MIMIR MAGNVS

“This meeting could have been a market” - by andri

“Calibrated measures” - by andri

“my waifu / predicts the future" - Pat Scott

“ I just lost mana because of that” - by andri

“It’s not 🤮crypto🤮 it’s play money” - by andri

100

100

83

65

64

51

46

36

33

13

Will the Dallas Mavericks "win" the Luka trade?

Feb 3, 5:39 AMSep 1, 8:59 PM

24.36%chance

2025690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10819

3069

Will the ID verification requirement for new users be reversed?

Apr 9, 4:21 AMJul 10, 3:59 AM

21%chance

9311610

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1940

516

Will xAI Reach Major Lab Status?

Jul 15, 7:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

89.54%chance

8911423

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3621

355

will portugal win the fifa world cup 2026

Jul 5, 3:48 AMJun 19, 11:59 PM

6%chance

287245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2590

73

Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate?

Apr 5, 6:51 PMNov 5, 11:59 PM

51.49%chance

305483

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

971

Will Bronny James retire alongside his father LeBron James when that time comes?

Oct 19, 1:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

0.82%chance

175092

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3763

8

Will Neuralink be available for people without a disability in the US by 2035?

Mar 21, 4:28 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

62.94%chance

652900

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1491

500

Will Major Copyright Reforms Affecting AI-Generated Works Be Enacted by 2026?

Nov 13, 7:47 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

53.95%chance

13894

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1082

924

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.32%chance

10544

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

784

Will Hersey's revive the Hershey's Gold candy bar by Jan 1st 2028?

Dec 2, 7:21 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

49.04%chance

14363

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1257

738

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