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Prediction markets for Alongside

MANA MERCH SHOP: Which designs will be added to the mana merch store?

Oct 22, 8:28 PMFeb 20, 7:40 PM

8433674

OptionProbability

The Manifold Logo

“Anti gambling gambling club” - by andri

Crane Hexes - by Pat Scott

Trustworthy-ish - by Pat Scott

“Put your Mana where your mouth is” - by MIMIR MAGNVS

“This meeting could have been a market” - by andri

“Calibrated measures” - by andri

“ I just lost mana because of that” - by andri

“my waifu / predicts the future" - Pat Scott

“It’s not 🤮crypto🤮 it’s play money” - by andri

97

77

76

73

66

62

44

43

38

15

Will the Dallas Mavericks "win" the Luka trade?

Feb 3, 5:39 AMSep 1, 8:59 PM

33.25%chance

2023690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8819

3870

Will xAI Reach Major Lab Status?

Jul 15, 7:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

90.28%chance

8911284

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3759

339

will portugal win the fifa world cup 2026

Jul 5, 3:48 AMJun 19, 11:59 PM

7%chance

226269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2462

82

Will Bronny James retire alongside his father LeBron James when that time comes?

Oct 19, 1:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

0.82%chance

175092

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3763

8

Will Neuralink be available for people without a disability in the US by 2035?

Mar 21, 4:28 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

64.01%chance

652875

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1516

485

Will foldable PCs become as common as traditional laptops in the next 5 years?

Oct 13, 3:45 AMOct 20, 6:59 AM

14.63%chance

232760

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2402

440

Will Inflection AI Reach Major Lab Status?

Jun 30, 9:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.18%chance

272650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2145

591

Will the United Kingdom attempt to rejoin the EU and Greece demand the Elgin Marbles back to let them? [2033]

Jul 7, 3:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.15%chance

241220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1285

830

Will Major Copyright Reforms Affecting AI-Generated Works Be Enacted by 2026?

Nov 13, 7:47 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

63.69%chance

10668

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1324

755

Are dark matter and dark energy other universes?

Nov 8, 8:04 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

17.27%chance

14298

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1017

976

Will Hersey's revive the Hershey's Gold candy bar by Jan 1st 2028?

Dec 2, 7:21 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

60.56%chance

13159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1053

987

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