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Prediction markets for Alpha Data

When, if ever before 2060, will a long-term suspended animation procedure on humans be developed and shown reliable?

Jan 9, 4:09 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6362

OptionProbability

Later than 2059 or never (question will close in 2060)

2040-2045

2045-2050

2050-2055

2055-2059

2024-2030

2030-2035

2035-2040

71

6

5

5

5

2

2

2

Will Manifold introduce an AI-based feature that automatically resolves markets by 2030?

Dec 29, 4:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

81.05%chance

16306

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1004

894

Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, September 25, 2026? (Closes early)

Sep 19, 3:42 AMSep 25, 2:00 AM

73.46%chance

6143

OptionVotes

NO

YES

152

73

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show >1.25x OR <0.8x ratio between Gen Alpha M VS F non-cis rates in 2035?

Nov 18, 4:35 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

2105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

913

Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, October 23, 2026? (Closes early)

Sep 21, 1:24 PMOct 23, 2:00 AM

51.96%chance

573

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

98

Will there be a psychedelics + closed-loop TMS paper by EOY2028?

Nov 11, 11:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.64%chance

458

OptionVotes

NO

YES

124

81

Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, October 16, 2026? (Closes early)

Sep 19, 3:42 AMOct 16, 2:00 AM

56.55%chance

432

OptionVotes

NO

YES

108

93

Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, October 2, 2026? (Closes early)

Sep 19, 3:42 AMOct 2, 2:00 AM

58.84%chance

232

OptionVotes

NO

YES

109

93

Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, October 9, 2026? (Closes early)

Sep 19, 3:42 AMOct 9, 2:00 AM

53.73%chance

222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

99

Will GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026?

Oct 29, 1:25 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Provide feedback for my N-of-1 experiment tracker: n1.tools

Nov 15, 4:26 AM

00

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