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Top stories

Bill Ackman Backs AI-Driven Alpha School With Two-Hour Class Days

Bill Ackman Backs AI-Driven Alpha School With Two-Hour Class Days

Authors

6

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Alpha

If I infect myself with Alpha-Gal syndrome, will I regret it 6 months later?

Dec 2, 4:27 AMJan 2, 5:04 AM

81%chance

6410345

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2065

484

Will Aleph Alpha and Cohere merge in 2026?

Apr 9, 6:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

94.88%chance

53598

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4305

232

Will an interstellar mission to alpha centauri be launched before 2040?

Feb 25, 9:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.99%chance

171053

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1701

884

Is Pony Alpha a new GLM model?

Feb 8, 5:45 AMJan 1, 5:44 AM

98.42%chance

5672

OptionVotes

NO

YES

768

70

Will an interstellar mission to Alpha Centauri be launched by 2100?

Sep 8, 3:56 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

69.37%chance

16502

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1078

712

Ladybird browser's first alpha version release date?

Sep 9, 7:54 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

2327

OptionProbability

After October 2026

August 2026

September 2026

July 2026

June 2026

October 2026

January 2026

February 2026

March 2026

April 2026

May 2026

Before January 2026

23

15

12

10

9

8

4

4

4

4

4

1

If/when humans send a mission to Alpha Centauri, will the subjective time experienced by the craft be more than 20 years?

Nov 11, 4:03 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

63.1%chance

9126

OptionVotes

NO

YES

270

163

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show >1.25x OR <0.8x ratio between Gen Alpha M VS F non-cis rates in 2035?

Nov 18, 4:35 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

2105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

913

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show a[n implied] drop in Gen Alpha afab non-cis rates, from 2025, in 2035?

Nov 18, 5:06 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

4105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

913

Will Elon Musk livestream himself playing Sid Meier's Alpha Centauri with OTHER real people by EOY2030?

Dec 29, 4:35 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.17%chance

130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Will Aleph Alpha fold by 2028

Mar 23, 2:20 PMJan 16, 10:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

111

If humanity survives this century, what alpha will we retroactively assign to our survival at the 1 Jan 2024 (minus one)

Jun 13, 11:45 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

10.03%chance

00

OptionProbability

NO

YES

250

250

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