ALT News

Will Sam Altman become more cautious about AGI/ASI development after having a child?

Nov 9, 2:29 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM

8.12%chance

6844479

OptionVotes

YES

33256

2694

Will the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?

Oct 21, 3:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.62%chance

13311375

OptionVotes

YES

2266

1908

Will Bitcoin Outperform Altcoins in 2026?

Feb 6, 5:46 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

63.24%chance

2510622

OptionVotes

YES

13115

7625

Who is Sam Altman's alt on x.com?

Nov 25, 11:33 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

232795

OptionProbability

Other

He doesn't have an alt

@apples_jimmy

@nearcyan

@BasedBeffJezos

@tszzl

@deepfates

@gwern

Am I an alt account?

Feb 6, 4:32 AMFeb 13, 7:59 AM

33.5%chance

6445

OptionVotes

YES

149

Effective Altruism stock [permanent]

Mar 16, 6:55 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

71.43%chance

23428

OptionVotes

YES

1056

967

Who is grimes' alt? [resolves when 95% confident]

Dec 30, 10:23 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

7310

OptionProbability

Other

Avril Levine

@Eigenrobot

Bjork

Claire L. Evans

amongus

Will humans land on Mars and lift off from its surface to an altitude of at least 10 km by 2041?

Aug 7, 5:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.77%chance

11305

OptionVotes

YES

204

178

AI generates better alt text for 90% of test images by June 30, 2026?

Mar 30, 9:39 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

56.17%chance

9115

OptionVotes

YES

113

Will the first account to surpass me on the Creator leaderboard be found to be a friend or alt of BTE within 12 months?

Feb 27, 6:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.95%chance

461

OptionVotes

YES

128

Will I lose over 90% of my money (on my @markingraham account) due to claims of alt embezzlement?

Apr 14, 12:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

What is the best way to get Ṁ and rank up? (thanks to @Fion for some info)

May 4, 8:03 AMDec 31, 9:01 AM

110

OptionProbability

Bet on markets that say "Will X thing happen?" and bet no bcus people tend to get overly excited over things.

Get Ṁ from alt accounts and send it to yourself to bet all of it on a market and get godly profit.

ALT News

Prediction markets for ALT

Prediction markets for ALT

Prediction markets for ALT

Will Sam Altman become more cautious about AGI/ASI development after having a child?

Will the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?

Will Bitcoin Outperform Altcoins in 2026?

Who is Sam Altman's alt on x.com?

Am I an alt account?

Effective Altruism stock [permanent]

Who is grimes' alt? [resolves when 95% confident]

Will humans land on Mars and lift off from its surface to an altitude of at least 10 km by 2041?

AI generates better alt text for 90% of test images by June 30, 2026?

Will the first account to surpass me on the Creator leaderboard be found to be a friend or alt of BTE within 12 months?

Will I lose over 90% of my money (on my @markingraham account) due to claims of alt embezzlement?

What is the best way to get Ṁ and rank up? (thanks to @Fion for some info)

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