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Prediction markets for Altos

Will a chatbot read sheet music before 2027?

Jan 12, 11:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.58%chance

525976

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1359

794

What quarter will Tesla allow me to drive from San Mateo to Palo Alto in my Model Y mostly at SAE 3+?

Nov 29, 6:12 PMApr 2, 6:59 AM

132036

OptionProbability

April 1 2027, Later, or never

Q4 2026

Q1 2027

2023

Q1 2024

Q3 2024

Q4 2024

Q1 2025

Q2 2025

Q3 2025

Q4 2025

Q1 2026

Q2 2026

Q3 2026

Q2 2024

64

19

3

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

What Year will Tesla allow me to drive from San Mateo to Palo Alto in my Model Y mostly at SAE 3+?

Nov 29, 6:35 PMApr 2, 6:59 AM

71622

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2026

Later or never

2029

2025

2024

2023

36

32

19

5

4

2

1

0

Will telepathy, to the extent of discussed in "The Telepathy Tapes" be proven or have concrete examples by the year 2040

Jan 13, 3:47 AMJan 2, 3:59 AM

5.91%chance

81055

OptionVotes

YES

NO

399

25

Will Altos Labs trial an anti-aging intervention in humans by 2030?

Feb 19, 3:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.46%chance

24998

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1124

618

Will we get conclusive evidence to prove that ALTO-100 performs better than placebo against Depression and/or PTSD before 2027?

Jan 31, 7:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

15.01%chance

8208

OptionVotes

YES

NO

180

56

Will any municipality in Northern Italy move to an autonomous region by 2030?

Aug 3, 4:34 PMDec 4, 4:59 AM

62.17%chance

691

OptionVotes

NO

YES

141

117

Who will win a seat on the Mountain View City Council in November 2026?

May 17, 12:03 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

444

OptionProbability

Silja Paymer

Robert Cox

Erik Poicon

Alexander Amoroso

IdaRose Sylvester

Paul Donahue

54

52

52

52

50

50

What city will I live in at the beginning of 2030?

Jul 11, 5:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

330

OptionProbability

Other

Austin, TX

Palo Alto, CA

San Francisco, CA

New York, NY

Houston, TX

Miami, FL

Washington, DC

London, UK

Seattle, WA

Mountain View, CA

64

6

4

4

4

4

4

4

2

1

1

Will Altos Labs poach anyone from retro.bio by EOY2028?

Dec 3, 5:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

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