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Altruist News

Will there be 10 new effective altruist billionaires in the next 5 years?

Jul 1, 12:42 AMJul 1, 4:59 AM

26.26%chance

24048106

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1768

1731

Effective Altruist organization commits serious human rights abuses "for the greater good" before 2035

Nov 30, 10:02 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

20.78%chance

559461

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3422

3106

If I'm alive by 2026, will I believe it is due to personal enjoyment of living or altruistic purposes

Jun 20, 5:45 PMJan 1, 5:01 AM

30.52%chance

214493

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1641

415

Will Mr. Beast self-identify as an effective altruist by end of 2030?

Nov 28, 6:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.81%chance

642893

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1935

897

Effective Altruist purge at Jane Street before Oct. 2025

Oct 2, 7:25 AMOct 1, 9:59 PM

3.4%chance

262348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2186

891

Will Destiny be an effective altruist by the end of 2025?

Jan 29, 9:48 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

10.6%chance

251997

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2123

757

Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?

Jul 2, 9:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.93%chance

131580

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1759

1287

Luddite : Industrialization :: ______ : AI (free response)

Nov 25, 7:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

361496

OptionProbability

AI Doomers

Just "Anti-AI people", no special name

Yuddite

Other

Neo-Luddite

Safetyist

Effective Altruist

Butlerian Jihadist

Loomer

Luddite

Rationalist

SkeptAIc

26

18

14

14

9

6

4

3

3

1

1

1

Will there be an effective altruist on the moon before 2035

Mar 31, 12:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.91%chance

311348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1253

904

Will a U.S. House Representative, Senator, or President/Vice President self identify as an effective altruist by the end of 2030?

Oct 29, 5:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.98%chance

421212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1219

844

Working in food technology is a more effectively altruistic career choice than working in grassroots activism

Mar 24, 3:11 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

78.4%chance

15311

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1165

936

Do you consider yourself to be an Effective Altruist?

Dec 29, 7:30 PM

2030

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