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Alumis News
Prediction markets for Alumis
Prediction markets for Alumis
Will a tech company buy an aluminum smelting company before 2030?
Jun 5, 2:49 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
25.64%
chance
21
3906
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1703
587
Alcoa Australia 2026 alumina production exceeds 6.0 Mt (6,000 kt)
Jan 12, 7:31 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
65.09%
chance
5
1528
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1366
733
Will there be aluminum production on the moon before 2063 ?
May 6, 2:43 AM
Jan 1, 12:59 PM
50.68%
chance
17
610
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1126
857
Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)
Jan 12, 7:33 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
65.24%
chance
9
400
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1370
730
Wagerup 2026 alumina production exceeds 2.5 Mt (2,500 kt)
Jan 12, 7:20 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
61.45%
chance
3
280
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1263
792
Alcoa's alumina segment 2026 production exceeds 9.5 Mt (9,500 kt)
Jan 12, 7:33 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
60.09%
chance
4
245
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1227
815
China's recycled aluminium production exceeds 15M tonnes in 2027?
Nov 26, 3:36 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
68.25%
chance
7
87
Option
Votes
NO
YES
147
68
China's primary aluminium capacity exceeds 30% benchmark energy efficiency by 2027?
Nov 26, 3:36 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
60.26%
chance
3
45
Option
Votes
NO
YES
123
81
Will Century Aluminum (CENX) file for bankruptcy before the end of 2028?
Feb 2, 2:27 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
63.19%
chance
4
17
Option
Votes
NO
YES
127
98
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