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Am Law 200 News
Prediction markets for Am Law 200
Prediction markets for Am Law 200
Do scaling laws happen because models experience a ton of tiny phase changes which average out to a smooth curve?
Apr 18, 5:31 PM
Dec 31, 6:29 AM
61.07%
chance
30
1229
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1172
860
Will any BigLaw firm be "completely wrecked" by AI in the next year?
Mar 3, 11:25 PM
Mar 3, 11:18 PM
27.41%
chance
15
785
Option
Votes
YES
NO
314
132
Will Die Linke successfully seize at least 200,000 housing units in Berlin before EOY 2031?
Sep 21, 6:37 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
20.25%
chance
5
630
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1630
769
Will Gavin Newsom veto the "Plug and Play" solar bill SB 868
Sep 2, 4:46 PM
Sep 30, 11:59 PM
29.93%
chance
13
452
Option
Votes
YES
NO
153
65
Will Israel annex at least 15% of Syria by 2029?
Jan 20, 7:01 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
5.98%
chance
9
331
Option
Votes
YES
NO
396
25
Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks before 2027?
Jun 7, 10:18 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
20.53%
chance
13
302
Option
Votes
YES
NO
121
94
Will there be a military draft in the United States during Trump's second term, authorized by Congress?
Mar 13, 11:09 PM
Jan 20, 11:59 AM
6.33%
chance
5
211
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1013
788
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