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Am Law 200 News
Prediction markets for Am Law 200
Prediction markets for Am Law 200
Will xAI replace Anthropic's DoW deal?
Feb 26, 11:05 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
20%
chance
24
3539
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2000
500
Do scaling laws happen because models experience a ton of tiny phase changes which average out to a smooth curve?
Apr 18, 5:31 PM
Dec 31, 6:29 AM
61.07%
chance
30
1229
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1172
860
Will any BigLaw firm be "completely wrecked" by AI in the next year?
Mar 3, 11:25 PM
Mar 3, 11:18 PM
32.85%
chance
14
745
Option
Votes
YES
NO
274
149
Will Israel annex at least 15% of Syria by 2029?
Jan 20, 7:01 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
8.92%
chance
9
231
Option
Votes
YES
NO
319
31
Will there be a military draft in the United States during Trump's second term, authorized by Congress?
Mar 13, 11:09 PM
Jan 20, 11:59 AM
7.24%
chance
4
111
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1020
688
Will South Carolina H.4216 (income tax reform) be signed into law in 2026?
Mar 15, 5:36 PM
Jun 1, 5:36 PM
30%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
250
250
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