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Amalgam News
Prediction markets for Amalgam
Prediction markets for Amalgam
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate equivalent to ~=200 man years of effort towards a software 1.0 given a prompt?
Apr 2, 1:06 AM
Jan 2, 12:59 PM
23.65%
chance
21
688
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1258
872
First year a specific AI model/framework is named as Time's Person of the Year
Jul 26, 12:17 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
2
174
Option
Probability
Other
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2025
41
10
10
10
10
10
9
By the end of 2027 will there be a new state or a new union territory in the Republic of India?
Aug 8, 8:41 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
32.49%
chance
7
153
Option
Votes
YES
NO
170
135
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