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Top stories

Leaked Israeli Data Shows 83% of Gaza Deaths Are Civilians

Leaked Israeli Data Shows 83% of Gaza Deaths Are Civilians

Authors

29

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Aman

Will Amanda Askell still be a power at Anthropic, EOY 2027?

Feb 17, 4:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.39%chance

243151365

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1905

525

Will Amanda Askell have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?

Jan 24, 9:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

98.55%chance

2834265

OptionVotes

NO

YES

8247

121

Valterra Amandelbult PGM 5E+Au Production 2027

Jan 30, 7:51 PMMar 1, 12:00 AM

55.15%chance

3263

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1109

902

[Hololive 4th Generation] Which talent will leave Hololive last?

Jan 23, 9:41 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

3248

OptionProbability

Tsunomaki Watame

Tokoyami Towa

Himemori Luna

Amane Kanata

41

29

29

1

Will Amancio Ortega (Spanish businessman) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 14, 2:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.06%chance

5162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

268

88

Charlotte Amande Stock

Oct 19, 2:28 AM

3120

OptionProbability

NO

YES

68

37

Will Amanda and West from Summer House break up before the end of the summer?

Jun 4, 1:37 AMSep 22, 10:59 PM

40.98%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

Will Amanda and West from Summer House break up before the end of the 2026?

Jun 4, 1:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Amanda and West from Summer House break up before the end of the 2027?

Jun 4, 1:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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