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Prediction markets for Amazon Live

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

22.16%chance

202757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1470

801

[Wheel of Time] Which of the Forsaken will appear in the TV series?

Sep 20, 12:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5265

OptionProbability

Moghedien

Sammael

Graendal

Aginor

Asmodean

Balthamel

Be'lal

Demandred

Mesaana

Rahvin

Semirhage

63

17

10

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Roadtrip: will I complete my trip and visit all 48 states?

Aug 2, 7:57 PMAug 1, 7:56 PM

48.16%chance

7206

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1037

964

Roadtrip: first leg favorite state

Aug 2, 8:03 PMSep 20, 8:01 PM

3178

OptionProbability

Montana

Wyoming

Minnesota

Wisconsin

Indiana

Other

South Dakota

Illinois

North Dakota

14

13

11

11

11

11

10

10

9

Roadtrip: Where will I end up in one year?

Aug 2, 7:55 PMAug 1, 7:43 PM

4155

OptionProbability

North Carolina (extended family here)

Seattle

SF

Parents' house (southeast)

SLC

Other

NYC

22

20

12

12

12

12

10

Roadtrip: will I be gainfully employed in one year?

Aug 2, 7:59 PMAug 1, 7:58 PM

45.26%chance

4121

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

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