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Prediction markets for Amazon One

Rotten Tomatoes Verified Audience 'Popcornmeter' Score for 'Melania'? 🍿 (2026)

Jan 28, 8:51 PMFeb 16, 4:59 AM

7615771

OptionProbability

98% or Higher

96% – 97%

0% – 59%

60% – 85%

86% – 95%

94

4

1

1

1

A publicly-traded Google competitor's search-derived revenue exceeds Google's search-derived revenue for four consecutive quarters before 2028.

Oct 1, 2:25 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

18.94%chance

505679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1425

852

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16.43%chance

233162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1875

705

xAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Sep 28, 5:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.77%chance

92124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2878

348

Purchased Kindle eBooks censored or blocked before 2030.

Jun 18, 7:52 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

67.44%chance

231465

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1439

695

Rotten Tomatoes 'Popcornmeter' All Audience Score for 'Melania'? 🍿 (2026)

Feb 3, 10:38 AMFeb 15, 11:59 PM

6934

OptionProbability

20% – 29%

30% – 39%

0% – 9%

10% – 19%

40% or Higher

53

39

3

3

3

6. Many more AI companies will begin building custom chips.

Dec 28, 11:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.48%chance

14895

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1759

570

I can buy a dog poop picking up robot on Amazon before 2028

Aug 3, 5:59 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

69.86%chance

21584

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1087

952

[Wheel of Time] Will any non-Darkfriend character from the books be a Darkfriend in the show?

Sep 2, 6:26 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

96.54%chance

4463

OptionVotes

NO

YES

562

27

[Wheel of Time] Will any Darkfriend character from the books be a non-Darkfriend in the show?

Sep 2, 6:23 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

73%chance

3116

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

50

Roadtrip: Gulf leg favorite state

Jan 10, 3:40 AMApr 2, 2:29 AM

475

OptionProbability

Louisiana (TBD)

Alabama (resolves NO if I don't have a non-Auburn stop)

Mississippi (TBD)

Arkansas (TBD)

33

24

22

21

Will Amazon buy Saks?

Jan 15, 4:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.39%chance

445

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

69

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