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AMC News

GPT-5: 120+ on AMC

Mar 31, 12:05 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

91.66%chance

209794

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3276

274

What will the 2026 AIME I + 2025 AMC 12 A USAMO Cutoff be?

Jan 4, 10:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

353318

OptionProbability

380.5-400

400.5-420

360.5-380

320.5-340

340.5-360

420.5-450

0-300

300.5-320

40

36

9

6

5

3

0

0

GPT-5: 140+ on AMC

Mar 31, 12:51 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

91.9%chance

242887

OptionVotes

NO

YES

380

20

What will be the 2026 USAMO cutoff for AMC 12 B and AIME I?

Nov 14, 3:27 PMMar 14, 1:00 AM

192794

OptionProbability

Above 374.5

370 - 374.5

365 - 369.5

Below 330

355 - 359.5

360 - 364.5

330 - 334.5

335 - 339.5

340 - 344.5

345 - 349.5

350 - 354.5

86

8

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

Will the cutoff for 2026 USAMO with AMC 12 A and AIME I be 390?

Dec 22, 3:04 PMFeb 20, 11:59 PM

27.41%chance

261776

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

61

GPT-5: 100+ on AMC

Mar 31, 11:35 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

90.68%chance

15755

OptionVotes

NO

YES

405

46

What will MAA do about the AMC leak?

Dec 16, 6:45 PMDec 17, 6:42 PM

10650

OptionProbability

Conduct investigation into leak source

No significant action taken

Implement new security protocols for future AMC

Modify AIME qualification process

Require verification for all AMC participants

Other

Nuke AIME cutoff (ie lower to <=85)

Disqualify leaked answer participants

Delay AIME administration

USAMTS-based AIME/USA(J)MO pathway extended

Offer makeup AMC administration

72

57

50

50

50

50

36

28

21

20

20

What will be the minimum AIME score of the 15 people who qualify for USAMO through USAMTS but not AMC?

Sep 1, 8:05 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

19529

OptionProbability

12

13

1-11

14-15

49

38

9

4

When will AMC Theaters stop showing the Nicole Kidman ad before every movie?

Nov 25, 11:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10461

OptionProbability

2026

2025

2028 or later

2024

2027

2023

26

25

23

13

10

3

Which Advance Market Commitment (AMC) will get funded first?

Sep 28, 1:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5455

OptionProbability

Broad-spectrum antivirals

Diagnostics for neonatal sepsis

Repurposing generic drugs

39

38

22

Will AMC file for bankruptcy before the end of 2028?

Feb 2, 2:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39%chance

10251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

183

54

How many people will make it to the AMC Series from USAMTS in the 2025-2026 cycle?

Aug 19, 10:24 PMMay 1, 11:59 PM

3245

OptionProbability

31-45

16-30

46-60

1-15

76+

0

61-75

25

24

19

14

12

3

3

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