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Top stories

Trump Ally Stephen Miller Brands Democrats a “Domestic Extremist Organization”

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for America First Legal

Will Trump Accounts be expanded to include Americans under 40 years old by EOY 2027?

Oct 20, 7:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.64%chance

4525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1245

864

When will the first Chinese branded EV be sold in the United States?

Aug 5, 1:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8181

OptionProbability

Before 2032

Before 2031

Before 2030

Before 2029

After 2032

Before 2028

Before 2027

87

76

72

41

34

17

13

Will a frontier AI lab publish recurring governance metrics with capability benchmarks in one document by 2026-12-31?

Jul 16, 1:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

124

OptionVotes

NO

YES

124

67

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