America First News
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Prediction markets for America First
Will Frederiksen/Denmark buy or acquire part of the US?
Jan 7, 8:25 PMJan 21, 8:23 PM
4.66%chance
109361
OptionVotes
4527
221
OptionVotes
1296
772
OptionVotes
3439
2470
Does Manifold "agree" with the following song lyrics (add your own)
Sep 29, 1:54 AMJan 28, 12:59 PM
181518
OptionProbability
94
88
80
76
74
74
53
50
50
50
50
50
50
45
41
41
31
26
19
17
Conditional on an attack on Iran occurring in 2026, which of Israel and America will strike first?
Jan 14, 7:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
61439
OptionProbability
66
34
On which continent will the next Pope to be born (meaning, as yet unborn) be born?
Apr 3, 6:51 PMApr 3, 3:59 AM
191115
OptionProbability
34
21
17
14
10
3
1
OptionProbability
13
11
7
7
6
6
5
5
5
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
66
34
When will it first be possible to rent an autonomous vehicle to drive between cities in North America without a license?
Feb 21, 12:52 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM
6472
OptionProbability
50
38
25
25
21
0
OptionProbability
27
21
20
14
12
7
OptionProbability
22
22
22
20
15
What “first in North America” roller coaster model will Six Flags Magic Mountain announce for 2026? (Add answers)
Nov 19, 12:46 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
3219
OptionProbability
90
2
2
2
1
1
1


