OptionProbability
Before 2030
Before 2029
Before 2028
Before 2027
Before 2025
Before 2026
69
60
57
18
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
3802
263
Gavin Newsom
Josh Shapiro
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Pete Buttigieg
Jon Ossoff
Mark Kelly
Ruben Gallego
Andy Beshear
Gretchen Whitmer
Wes Moore
Ro Khanna
JB Pritzker
Kamala Harris
Chris Van Hollen
Rahm Emanuel
Cory Booker
Raphael Warnock
Tim Walz
Josh Green
72
48
40
38
34
32
27
25
24
20
19
16
15
12
9
8
5
Unyielding Islamic Regime
Deal with major concessions
Deal with minimal concessions
Military coup (Artesh)
Venezuela-style puppet state
Balkanization/long civil war
Popular takeover
Voluntary transition of power
37
6
3
2
1
100