OptionProbability
Before 2030
Before 2029
Before 2028
Before 2027
Before 2025
Before 2026
63
35
21
7
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
3802
263
Gavin Newsom
Josh Shapiro
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Pete Buttigieg
Mark Kelly
Jon Ossoff
Andy Beshear
Ruben Gallego
Gretchen Whitmer
Ro Khanna
Wes Moore
JB Pritzker
Kamala Harris
Chris Van Hollen
Tim Walz
Rahm Emanuel
Cory Booker
Raphael Warnock
Josh Green
75
48
38
32
27
24
20
16
15
12
10
9
8
5
Unyielding Islamic Regime
Deal with minimal concessions
Deal with major concessions
Military coup (Artesh)
Popular takeover
Balkanization/long civil war
Venezuela-style puppet state
Voluntary transition of power
28
26
4
3
2
1
100