OptionProbability
$300M – $349.9M (Likely outcome as of 3/21, if it matches The Martian)
$350M – $399.9M (High-end breakout)
$250M – $299.9M (Strong performance, ~3.4x multiplier)
$200M – $249.9M (Moderate legs, ~3x multiplier)
$400M or more (Mega-blockbuster status)
Less than $200M (Implies a collapse in week 2)
35
25
19
9
3
OptionVotes
NO
YES
995
10
$800 million or more
$400 million or more
$600 million or more
$1 billion or more
$1.2 billion or more
78
66
55
7
164
61
