OptionVotes
YES
NO
1324
871
OptionProbability
Deal with minimal concessions
Unyielding Islamic Regime
Deal with major concessions
Balkanization/long civil war
Military coup (Artesh)
Popular takeover
Venezuela-style puppet state
Voluntary transition of power
43
36
8
6
3
1
153
65
307
33
196
51
100
