OptionVotes
YES
NO
1324
871
146
69
307
33
OptionProbability
Unyielding Islamic Regime
Deal with minimal concessions
Balkanization/long civil war
Deal with major concessions
Military coup (Artesh)
Popular takeover
Voluntary transition of power
Venezuela-style puppet state
18
17
15
11
4
2
1
164
61
104
96
