American Technology News
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Prediction markets for American Technology
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?
Jul 13, 11:37 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM
47.67%chance
8713481
OptionVotes
1050
916
Will far-UVC or a successor technology be ubiquitous by 2033?
Sep 29, 1:23 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
20.45%chance
422271
OptionVotes
1191
922
Will Robot workers be a major topic during the 2028 presidential debates in the United States?
Nov 10, 12:14 AMNov 6, 7:59 AM
28.09%chance
161050
OptionVotes
1088
656
OptionVotes
470
21
Will 1% of Americans believe technology is most important problem in the US before the end of 2025, according to Gallup?
Dec 24, 11:37 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
53.21%chance
9444
OptionVotes
1015
982
Will most of Apple's U.S. customers use a visionOS interface by 2030?
Feb 4, 2:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
19.35%chance
13428
OptionVotes
1033
714
Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?
Apr 17, 7:54 PMDec 14, 12:00 PM
72%chance
14346
OptionVotes
1091
949
Will 2% of Americans believe technology is most important problem in the US before the end of 2025, according to Gallup?
Dec 24, 11:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
49.15%chance
8318
OptionVotes
102
98
Will 5% of Americans believe technology is most important problem in the US before the end of 2025, according to Gallup?
Dec 24, 11:40 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
20.67%chance
6300
OptionVotes
196
51
Will Americans' confidence in large technology companies decline in 2026, according to Gallup?
Jul 23, 4:46 PMJul 20, 10:59 PM
25.02%chance
7215
OptionVotes
173
58
Will ACGIH raise the threshold limit values of the far-UVC (200-230 nm) range again before 2026?
Feb 24, 9:55 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
27.02%chance
3146
OptionVotes
165
75
US tribe uses "Genetic reclamation" to increase their blood quantum before 2046
May 27, 9:14 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
35.64%chance
631
OptionVotes
158
110