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Prediction markets for Amplitude

Will Mount Aso erupt during 2026?

Aug 15, 3:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.2%chance

9162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

70

What is the neutrino mass ordering?

Jun 28, 5:31 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

678

OptionProbability

Normal ordering (m₁<m₂<m₃)

Inverted ordering (m₃<m₁<m₂)

76

24

Cosmic dipole anomaly reportedly confirmed at 5-sigma by Euclid data by EOY 2030?

Aug 21, 11:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.02%chance

326

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

Detection of cosmological primordial tensor-to-scalar ratio r>0.003 by EOY 2030?

Aug 18, 12:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.99%chance

111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

97

Will Jeffrey Wang of metaphor.systems ever meet Jeffrey Wang of Amplitude by EOY 2027? (both went to Harvard)

Dec 23, 12:55 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

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