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Prediction markets for Analytics
OptionProbability
90
86
82
80
77
74
66
64
62
58
56
55
54
54
47
45
45
41
41
41
37
33
33
30
23
19
15
15
15
14
12
11
8
8
7
6
6
3
If a friendly AI takes control of humanity, which of the propositions ought it find true?
May 30, 8:38 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
2311333
OptionProbability
94
93
93
93
92
90
89
89
86
72
67
66
63
52
52
50
50
42
41
34
32
31
20
What's a common idea/opinion/concept that you think is overrated?
Oct 24, 8:44 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
9910738
OptionProbability
91
89
87
87
85
84
82
81
80
79
78
78
76
75
75
75
74
74
73
73
72
71
70
70
70
65
65
65
64
63
62
61
61
59
56
55
52
51
50
50
49
49
48
48
47
47
46
45
45
43
42
41
41
41
40
40
37
36
35
34
34
32
30
30
28
28
27
27
26
25
23
23
22
22
21
20
15
If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?
May 20, 7:33 AMJan 27, 10:59 PM
44.05%chance
589686
OptionVotes
1127
887
OptionProbability
40
21
18
11
11
Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?
Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
24%chance
161269
OptionVotes
1780
562
Which Microsoft software products will xAI compete with by the end of 2026?
Aug 25, 2:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
51183
OptionProbability
21
20
20
20
18
18
18
18
15
11
Which of these Google Products will discontinued in the end of 2026 or less
Aug 26, 4:03 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM
12567
OptionProbability
50
50
49
33
20
20
14
10
8
6
5
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
Which of these Google Products will discontinued till end of 2026?
Aug 26, 4:57 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM
4380
OptionProbability
68
31
31
31
31
22
20
14
14
14
10
7
7
5
5
5
5
5
OptionProbability
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
24
24
24
24
24
24
100 monthly users on my 'achievements' journaling app?
May 2, 12:26 AMJul 1, 11:52 PM
51.19%chance
3241
OptionVotes
1024
976
Will janus/repligate or Joscha Bach identify as analytic idealist or monistic idealist by EOY2027?
Nov 30, 5:12 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100


