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Prediction markets for Angel City

Trump orders active duty military to NYC by end of 2026?

Nov 5, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.86%chance

113953

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2303

434

Will the Trump administration militarize Los Angeles again before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:19 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

13.87%chance

91968

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2492

401

Will Dreamstar Lines begin revenue service in 2026?

Jun 7, 7:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.47%chance

81564

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2534

395

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 3

Apr 13, 3:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51279

OptionProbability

Tim Gaspar

Barri Worth Girvan

Christopher Robert Celona

Lehi White

Other

Jon Rawlings

74

18

3

2

2

1

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 24th State Senate district

Jun 4, 4:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4540

OptionProbability

Brian Goldsmith (Democratic)

John Erickson (Democratic)

Mike Newhouse (Democratic)

Nico Ruderman

Other

Eric Alegria (Democratic)

Ellen Evans (Democratic)

Sion Roy (Democratic)

Zennon Ulyate-Crow

Kristina Irwin (Republican)

Brittany McKinley (Democratic)

45

27

4

4

4

3

3

3

3

2

2

2026 Los Angeles City Controller Election

Nov 9, 7:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5529

OptionProbability

Kenneth Mejia (incumbent)

Other

Isadore Hall

95

4

2

Waymo available at Rio Rancho City Hall End of 2028

Dec 12, 9:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.14%chance

5527

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1420

704

Will a Waymo self-driving car be involved in a fatal accident before July 1, 2026?

Apr 27, 9:11 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

13.98%chance

19515

OptionVotes

YES

NO

248

40

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 9

May 23, 2:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3304

OptionProbability

Jose Ugarte

Estuardo Mazariegos

Chris Martin

Other

Jorge Nuno

Adriana Cabrera

Martha Sánchez

Elmer Roldan

Michelle Washington

Jorge Hernandez Rosas

68

23

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

2026 City of Los Angeles Charter Reform Predictions

Jul 28, 6:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2127

OptionProbability

No change to the charter

Ranked choice voting for city council or city wide office

Expand the number of council districts

50

14

11

LA covers budget shortfall for 2028 Olympics?

Sep 13, 1:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.37%chance

261

OptionVotes

NO

YES

129

78

Will a commercial non-stop flight between Los Angeles and Ho Chi Minh City exist before the end of 2027?

Nov 4, 3:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

24.83%chance

237

OptionVotes

YES

NO

87

29

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