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Prediction markets for Angel One

Will we find that the dark forest theory of the universe is true?

Mar 25, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.32%chance

1420948

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1438

927

Who will turn out to be the Angel? (Deltarune)

Jan 3, 6:07 AMDec 30, 11:00 PM

363507

OptionProbability

The Player

Noelle

Asriel

Nobody, the Angel is their own character

Dess Holiday

Gaster

Other

Susie

37

21

15

11

7

5

3

1

Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service be suspended in CA for 30 days before the end of 2026? [description]

Dec 17, 6:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.77%chance

102846

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3126

615

Will there be a large violent dispute between protesters and ICE in 2026?

Jan 10, 1:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.77%chance

232215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1418

706

Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service be suspended in CA for 30 days before the end of 2027? [description]

Feb 15, 2:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.16%chance

102023

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2569

389

Sub-1:58 marathon before LA Olympics?

Apr 27, 2:45 PMJul 13, 11:59 PM

12%chance

6635

OptionVotes

YES

NO

271

37

Waymo available at Rio Rancho City Hall End of 2028

Dec 12, 9:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.14%chance

5527

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1420

704

Who will start for the Los Angeles Rams the first Week One that Matt Stafford is not on the roster?

Jan 27, 4:35 AMOct 1, 12:00 PM

5294

OptionProbability

Other

Jimmy Garoppolo

Stetson Bennett

Baker Mayfield

Lamar Jackson

Josh Allen

Joe Burrow

92

1

1

1

1

1

1

How many of the four NFL conference finalists from 2025 will win a playoff game in 2026?

Mar 17, 4:04 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

6185

OptionProbability

2

3

1

0

4

40

32

18

6

4

Will there be a trend spike for the term "Paradise Lost" before 2035?

May 10, 12:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.09%chance

10183

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

65

How many matches will Alexander Zverev win at the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals?

Nov 5, 6:03 PMNov 23, 12:00 AM

1172

OptionProbability

At least 1

At least 2

At least 3

At least 4

At least 5 (wins the title)

93

65

39

17

8

Will "Guardian Angels: LLM Personalization for Prod..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jun 21, 5:06 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14.29%chance

215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1003

979

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