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Prediction markets for Angel One

Will we find that the dark forest theory of the universe is true?

Mar 25, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.32%chance

1420948

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1438

927

Who will turn out to be the Angel? (Deltarune)

Jan 3, 6:07 AMDec 30, 11:00 PM

323011

OptionProbability

The Player

Noelle

Asriel

Nobody, the Angel is their own character

Dess Holiday

Other

Gaster

Susie

33

30

17

8

7

4

1

0

Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service be suspended in CA for 30 days before the end of 2026? [description]

Dec 17, 6:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.66%chance

82393

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2878

637

Will there be a large violent dispute between protesters and ICE in 2026?

Jan 10, 1:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.77%chance

232215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1418

706

Will the second coming of Jesus Christ happen within the next 100 years?

Mar 19, 1:36 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4%chance

152017

OptionVotes

YES

NO

875

123

Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service be suspended in CA for 30 days before the end of 2027? [description]

Feb 15, 2:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.12%chance

91823

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2369

422

Waymo available at Rio Rancho City Hall End of 2028

Dec 12, 9:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.14%chance

5527

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1420

704

Who will start for the Los Angeles Rams the first Week One that Matt Stafford is not on the roster?

Jan 27, 4:35 AMOct 1, 12:00 PM

5290

OptionProbability

Other

Stetson Bennett

Jimmy Garoppolo

Baker Mayfield

Lamar Jackson

Josh Allen

Joe Burrow

90

4

1

1

1

1

1

Will a singular event cause mass civil unrest in the United States by 2029

Jan 12, 2:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.54%chance

5111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

90

Will the unemployment rate in the Los Angeles metropolitan area be higher in June 2026 than in May 2026?

Apr 10, 12:36 PMAug 15, 12:00 PM

47.13%chance

225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

94

Will any MLB team reach 100 wins in the regular season this year?

May 29, 11:03 PMOct 4, 11:59 PM

56.82%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

85

Will "Guardian Angels: LLM Personalization for Prod..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jun 21, 5:06 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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