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Prediction markets for Anonymous

Will I regret not using an anonymous account on Manifold by end of 2030?

Jan 10, 3:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.57%chance

242502

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2660

647

Will the Sweden Democrats stop using anonymous accounts before the 2026 election?

Jul 15, 3:44 PMSep 13, 9:59 PM

7.55%chance

12500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3500

286

ICE anonymity in Los Angeles limited by December 31, 2025?

Jul 7, 4:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.48%chance

132173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3089

324

Will anonymous limit orders be placeable in 2025?

Sep 10, 3:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.86%chance

8859

OptionVotes

YES

NO

725

14

Will any currently anonymous full-time contributor to Ten Today be publicly identified (i.e., doxxed)?

Jun 26, 7:51 PMJun 26, 7:48 PM

66.67%chance

264

OptionVotes

NO

YES

141

71

Will you still be able to buy crypto anonymously via cash in the mail on LocalCoinSwap at the start of 2030?

May 11, 7:02 AMJan 3, 4:59 AM

43.58%chance

426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

114

88

Private anonymous market - do not bet unless invited. Thanks.

Dec 26, 9:23 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

11

OptionProbability

2 by end 2024

1 by end 2024

3 by end 2020s

4 at end 2024

52

50

50

50

Do you vote in your country's elections? [ANONYMIZED!]

Oct 22, 5:23 PM

320

[ANONYMOUS] How much earned income do you make per year?

Sep 4, 9:35 PM

330

Manifest takes: Submit the most interesting takes you've heard, anonymously

Sep 24, 5:09 PM

00

Message me my main identity (loss of anonymity canary).

Nov 12, 9:07 PM

00

[ANONYMOUS] Have you ever purchased mana?

Sep 7, 9:36 PM

280

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