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Top stories

Record U.S. Output and Looming OPEC+ Hike Drag Oil Below $70

Record U.S. Output and Looming OPEC+ Hike Drag Oil Below $70

Authors

10

2 days ago

Prediction markets for ANP

When will the Brazilian National Data Protection Authority (ANPD) publish its first dataset on dados.gov.br?

Feb 8, 10:24 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

143249

OptionProbability

Before 2029

Before 2030

Before 2028

Before 2027

Before 2026

Before 2025

75

75

62

56

35

0

In what year will an OpenAI natural language processing model be more competent than me in my area of expertise?

Dec 14, 4:38 PMDec 30, 11:00 PM

2.1%chance

21900

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1600

980

Will GPT-5 be more competent than me in my area of expertise?

Dec 13, 11:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.27%chance

31776

OptionVotes

YES

NO

994

992

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