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Prediction markets for Ant

Claude 5 (Anthropic) release date

Jul 25, 6:37 PMJun 30, 6:35 PM

323462707

OptionProbability

Before 2026-09-01

Before 2026-08-01

Before 2026-07-01

Before 2026-06-01

Before August 2025

Before September 2025

Before October 2025

Before November 2025

Before December 2025

Before January 2026

Before February 2026

Before 2026-03-01

Before 2026-04-01

Before 2026-05-01

Before 2026-02-15

Before 2026-02-04

Before 2026-02-08

Before 2026-02-05

Before 2026-02-06

47

41

23

6

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Anthropic flips Apple before 2030?

Dec 20, 2:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27%chance

213228252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1646

609

Will Anthropic surpass OpenAI valuation in 2026?

Jan 4, 5:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

82%chance

275144959

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6441

1002

Anthropic flips OpenAI before 2028?

Sep 5, 1:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

88.12%chance

12384372

OptionVotes

NO

YES

27252

3675

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?

Jan 31, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60%chance

10633080

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12752

7602

Anthropic 60B revenue annual run rate on July 6, 2026?

Apr 6, 11:22 PMJul 6, 11:59 PM

44.75%chance

3911281

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1111

900

What ticker will Anthropic use?

Apr 10, 8:49 PMDec 31, 9:18 PM

171399

OptionProbability

ANTH

ANT

Other

ATH

ANTR

CLOD

OPAI

CLAUDE

ATHR

55

13

13

11

4

1

1

1

1

¿Habra mocion de censura al presidente Sanchez en España antes de Agosto del 26?

Jan 13, 9:58 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM

18%chance

7165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

213

47

Will the next full-length film featuring Paul Rudd as Ant Man be better than I expect it to be?

Feb 11, 1:12 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

49.02%chance

210

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

89

Will "Stress Testing Deliberative Alignment for Ant..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sep 19, 12:14 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14.09%chance

11

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1001

994

Make answers created during market creation on independent multi choice start with the minimum answer ante liquidity

Oct 17, 5:23 PM

00

Nash Pit, Manifest 2025: The Ante Pot

Jun 4, 1:51 AM

00

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