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Prediction markets for Ant

Anthropic flips Apple before 2030?

Dec 20, 2:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.33%chance

281378039

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1145

875

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?

Jan 31, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69%chance

11739485

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15373

6183

Anthropic above 10T valuation on June 14 2027

Jun 14, 7:48 AMJun 14, 11:59 PM

13.36%chance

2937008

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2407

557

Will Anthropic or OpenAI add a higher tier subscription >= 400$ in 2026?

May 17, 3:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.86%chance

7514615

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6051

5902

What ticker will Anthropic use?

Apr 10, 8:49 PMDec 31, 9:18 PM

231972

OptionProbability

ANTH

Other

ANT

ANTR

ATH

CLOD

OPAI

CLAUDE

ATHR

47

34

13

4

1

0

0

0

0

¿Habra mocion de censura al presidente Sanchez en España antes de Agosto del 26?

Jan 13, 9:58 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM

19%chance

8229

OptionVotes

YES

NO

207

48

Estados Unidos gira orden de aprehensión contra gobernador Américo Villarreal Anaya antes de Diciembre de 2026

May 18, 12:16 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

73.85%chance

3110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

84

Will the next full-length film featuring Paul Rudd as Ant Man be better than I expect it to be?

Feb 11, 1:12 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

49.02%chance

210

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

89

Will "Stress Testing Deliberative Alignment for Ant..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sep 19, 12:14 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14.09%chance

11

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1001

994

Estados Unidos gira orden de aprehensión contra gobernador Américo Villarreal Anaya antes de Diciembre de 2026

May 17, 4:47 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

40%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Make answers created during market creation on independent multi choice start with the minimum answer ante liquidity

Oct 17, 5:23 PM

00

Nash Pit, Manifest 2025: The Ante Pot

Jun 4, 1:51 AM

00

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