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Top stories

Madrona Unveils 2025 IA40, Spotlighting 40 Rising AI Startups

Madrona Unveils 2025 IA40, Spotlighting 40 Rising AI Startups

Authors

8

3 months ago

Anthropic Debuts Claude for Chrome as Report Warns of AI-Driven Extortion

Anthropic Debuts Claude for Chrome as Report Warns of AI-Driven Extortion

Authors

69

3 months ago

Anthropic to Use User Chats for AI Training, Extend Data Retention to 5 Years Across Free, Pro, and Max Tiers Unless Opted Out by September 28

Anthropic to Use User Chats for AI Training, Extend Data Retention to 5 Years Across Free, Pro, and Max Tiers Unless Opted Out by September 28

Authors

13

3 months ago

OpenAI and Anthropic Join Forces on AI Safety Testing

Authors

5

3 months ago

Anthropic Settles Authors’ Suit Alleging Pirated Books Fueled Claude AI

Authors

49

3 months ago

Google Tests Agent and Immersive Modes to Broaden Gemini AI

Authors

18

3 months ago

Experts Warn ‘AI Psychosis’ Risk as Teens Turn to Chatbot Therapy

Authors

15

3 months ago

Anthropic and U.S. DOE’s NNSA Develop Classifier With 96% Accuracy to Filter CBRN Weapons, Achieving 33% Harmful Content Reduction

Authors

8

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Anthropic

What will be the sum of OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI's publicly reported annualized revenues by December 31st 2025?

Dec 5, 2:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

51137099

OptionProbability

>$25B

$20.1-25B

$12.6-15B

$15.1-17.5B

$17.6-20B

<$5B

$5-10B

$10.1-12.5B

93

3

1

1

1

0

0

0

Will Anthropic have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Aug 1, 5:55 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

3%chance

4352283

OptionVotes

YES

NO

56752

1748

When will Anthropic IPO?

Jul 29, 5:37 PMDec 31, 5:59 PM

2537198

OptionProbability

2029 or later or not at all

2026 Q3

2026 Q4

2026 Q2

2028

2027 Q1

2027 Q4

2026 Q1

2027 Q3

2027 Q2

2025 Q3

2025 Q4

20

14

12

11

10

7

7

6

6

5

1

1

Anthropic flips OpenAI before 2028?

Sep 5, 1:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.83%chance

5217447

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15339

6519

Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a lower valuation before EOY 2030 compared to EOY 2023?

Oct 5, 9:51 PMDec 26, 4:59 AM

11.08%chance

233674

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2660

211

Will Anthropic IPO before 2030?

Mar 6, 12:24 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

82.12%chance

262054

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2115

264

Will Anthropic, before 2035, pause development for at least a year as a result of safety evaluations?

Mar 7, 1:06 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26.74%chance

301897

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1086

946

If passed, will SB 1047 cover any Open Source model before 2029, not including those of Meta, OpenAI, Anthropic, etc?

Aug 29, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.35%chance

61165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1098

911

Will Anthropic have a major conflict involving its unique corporate structure similar to OpenAI before 2030?

Jan 28, 10:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

53.09%chance

29815

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1250

674

Before 2034, will OpenAI, Anthropic or Mistral have a profitable fiscal year?

Aug 6, 12:09 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

69.2%chance

10685

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1499

667

Will OpenAI announce that they are cooperating with Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or Google in order to mitigate race dynamics by 2027?

Feb 27, 5:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.63%chance

21670

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1057

840

Anthropic flips OpenAI before 2027?

Dec 4, 5:18 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

39%chance

17475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

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