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Prediction markets for Anywhere

Does extraterrestrial life at least as complex as a fly exist anywhere in the solar system?

Dec 9, 2:09 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

5.47%chance

514032

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2069

857

Will there be anywhere childfree city before 2030?

Aug 8, 2:49 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

10%chance

493247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1334

928

Radiological "dirty bomb" attack anywhere in the world by 2029-06-30

Jun 22, 3:26 PMJun 22, 10:59 PM

11.9%chance

192451

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2721

368

Will the United States government detonate a nuclear weapon anywhere in 2026?

Mar 14, 5:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.15%chance

311308

OptionVotes

YES

NO

429

23

Will an implantable device to treat tinnitus be available anywhere in the world before 2027?

May 17, 8:19 AMMay 25, 9:59 PM

11.22%chance

261217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1327

948

Will we discover extraterrestrial life (past or present) anywhere in the solar system by EOY 2100?

Dec 1, 11:49 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

56.62%chance

151121

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

88

Will an ungoverned free society exist anywhere on Earth for at least one year before 2040?

Feb 13, 11:44 PMJan 21, 9:59 PM

24.46%chance

23972

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1062

953

Will a human clone be a registered citizen anywhere before 2030?

Mar 1, 12:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.02%chance

14969

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1477

891

Will a government sanctioned purge be introduced anywhere in the USA by 2100?

Sep 9, 5:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

10%chance

13488

OptionVotes

YES

NO

408

105

Will XTC/MDMA be legalized anywhere in the world before 2035

Jun 16, 10:01 PMDec 31, 11:01 PM

82%chance

4231

OptionVotes

NO

YES

182

46

Will Fairtrade Weed be available anywhere by 2030?

Feb 12, 4:47 PMDec 28, 11:59 PM

62.44%chance

370

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

80

Will anywhere in the US, UK, Canada, or EU mandate car kill switches that can be used by law enforcement before 2030?

Dec 28, 12:53 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

41.36%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

99

82

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