APA News

What's causing the mental health crisis among young people of the 2010s-2020s?

Dec 28, 8:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

746628

OptionProbability

Social Media

Increased awareness/willingness to diagnose

Phones

Mass Psychogenic Illness

Some form of intentional psychological manipulation (algorithmic manipulation, intentional group polarization, psychological warfare, etc.)

There actually is no mental health crisis, it just looks like there is one due to e.g. biased reporting

The postmodern condition becoming more widespread

Hearing about bad things going on (like Climate Change)

REM defficient sleep

Psychoactive drugs (prescribed or recreational)

Socioeconomic hardships

Urbanicity

Microplastics

Nanoplastics

Some sort of ingested/inhaled contaminant

cocaine dust particles passive intake

COVID vaccine side effect

The UK Tory party will split into 2 parties or otherwise internally fall apart before 2026

Aug 30, 12:26 PMJan 6, 11:59 PM

2.95%chance

335651

OptionVotes

YES

3444

831

Will Berlin manage to build 200,000 new apartments before 2031?

Aug 21, 3:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

19.58%chance

181147

OptionVotes

YES

1112

953

Will Belgium break apart before 2034?

Sep 15, 10:52 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8.83%chance

18736

OptionVotes

YES

1422

926

[Metaculus] Using AI tools as part of diagnostic process considered best practice in clinical psychology before 2029?

Oct 22, 8:52 AMJan 2, 12:00 PM

32.85%chance

12312

OptionVotes

YES

207

108

When will Canada break apart?

May 1, 5:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11298

OptionProbability

No breakup / none of these years

Between 2035 and 2039

Between 2030 and 2034

Between 2040 and 2044

Between 2025 and 2029

Will 100k new apartments be constructed in Berlin between end of 2021 and end of 2026?

Aug 27, 5:33 AMJun 7, 9:59 PM

9.02%chance

5180

OptionVotes

YES

270

Will there be another Nintendo-themed "Land" at a Universal Studios Park apart from Mario and Donkey Kong before 2031?

May 7, 12:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

55.53%chance

9153

OptionVotes

YES

112

[take it apart] Jvyy Byvire unir n pbairefngvba jvgu Lbon?

Sep 17, 2:39 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

74.73%chance

561

OptionVotes

YES

151

Will at least ten students live in apartments at People’s Park by the start of the Fall 2029 semester?

Jan 6, 8:49 PMSep 14, 6:59 AM

67.4%chance

752

OptionVotes

YES

137

Apart from AI, which technological areas are you most excited about for the long-term future of humanity?

Nov 14, 9:06 PM

400

Apart from AI, which technological areas are you most worried about for humanity’s future?

Nov 14, 9:08 PM

160

APA News

Prediction markets for APA

Prediction markets for APA

Prediction markets for APA

What's causing the mental health crisis among young people of the 2010s-2020s?

The UK Tory party will split into 2 parties or otherwise internally fall apart before 2026

Will Berlin manage to build 200,000 new apartments before 2031?

Will Belgium break apart before 2034?

[Metaculus] Using AI tools as part of diagnostic process considered best practice in clinical psychology before 2029?

When will Canada break apart?

Will 100k new apartments be constructed in Berlin between end of 2021 and end of 2026?

Will there be another Nintendo-themed "Land" at a Universal Studios Park apart from Mario and Donkey Kong before 2031?

[take it apart] Jvyy Byvire unir n pbairefngvba jvgu Lbon?

Will at least ten students live in apartments at People’s Park by the start of the Fall 2029 semester?

Apart from AI, which technological areas are you most excited about for the long-term future of humanity?

Apart from AI, which technological areas are you most worried about for humanity’s future?

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