APA News

What's causing the mental health crisis among young people of the 2010s-2020s?

Dec 28, 8:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

746655

OptionProbability

Social Media

Increased awareness/willingness to diagnose

Phones

Mass Psychogenic Illness

Some form of intentional psychological manipulation (algorithmic manipulation, intentional group polarization, psychological warfare, etc.)

There actually is no mental health crisis, it just looks like there is one due to e.g. biased reporting

The postmodern condition becoming more widespread

Hearing about bad things going on (like Climate Change)

REM defficient sleep

Psychoactive drugs (prescribed or recreational)

Socioeconomic hardships

Urbanicity

Microplastics

Nanoplastics

Some sort of ingested/inhaled contaminant

cocaine dust particles passive intake

COVID vaccine side effect

The UK Tory party will split into 2 parties or otherwise internally fall apart before 2026

Aug 30, 12:26 PMJan 6, 11:59 PM

2.95%chance

335651

OptionVotes

YES

3444

831

Will Berlin manage to build 200,000 new apartments before 2031?

Aug 21, 3:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

19.58%chance

181147

OptionVotes

YES

1112

953

Will Belgium break apart before 2034?

Sep 15, 10:52 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8.76%chance

18746

OptionVotes

YES

1432

925

When will Canada break apart?

May 1, 5:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12634

OptionProbability

No breakup / none of these years

Between 2035 and 2039

Between 2040 and 2044

Between 2030 and 2034

Between 2025 and 2029

Will there be another Nintendo-themed "Land" at a Universal Studios Park apart from Mario and Donkey Kong before 2031?

May 7, 12:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

55.53%chance

9153

OptionVotes

YES

112

Will “histrionic personality disorder” (HPD) exist in DSM-6?

Jan 26, 11:35 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

15.18%chance

4113

OptionVotes

YES

196

Average price per m² for old apartments in Paris by end of December 2027

Aug 2, 5:26 PMAug 1, 9:59 PM

366

OptionProbability

8,800 - 9,599

8,000 - 8,799

9,600 - 10,399

10,400 - 11,199

11,200 - 12,000

Above 12,000

Below 8,000

[take it apart] Jvyy Byvire unir n pbairefngvba jvgu Lbon?

Sep 17, 2:39 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

74.73%chance

561

OptionVotes

YES

151

Will at least ten students live in apartments at People’s Park by the start of the Fall 2029 semester?

Jan 6, 8:49 PMSep 14, 6:59 AM

67.4%chance

752

OptionVotes

YES

137

Apart from AI, which technological areas are you most worried about for humanity’s future?

Nov 14, 9:08 PM

160

Apart from AI, which technological areas are you most excited about for the long-term future of humanity?

Nov 14, 9:06 PM

400

APA News

Prediction markets for APA

Prediction markets for APA

Prediction markets for APA

What's causing the mental health crisis among young people of the 2010s-2020s?

The UK Tory party will split into 2 parties or otherwise internally fall apart before 2026

Will Berlin manage to build 200,000 new apartments before 2031?

Will Belgium break apart before 2034?

When will Canada break apart?

Will there be another Nintendo-themed "Land" at a Universal Studios Park apart from Mario and Donkey Kong before 2031?

Will “histrionic personality disorder” (HPD) exist in DSM-6?

Average price per m² for old apartments in Paris by end of December 2027

[take it apart] Jvyy Byvire unir n pbairefngvba jvgu Lbon?

Will at least ten students live in apartments at People’s Park by the start of the Fall 2029 semester?

Apart from AI, which technological areas are you most worried about for humanity’s future?

Apart from AI, which technological areas are you most excited about for the long-term future of humanity?

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