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Prediction markets for API Platform

Will Anthropic models still be hosted on at least one of AWS, GCP, or Azure at expiry

Feb 28, 12:08 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

98.97%chance

3119748

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10655

120

Will Stripe acquire Openrouter in 2026?

Jul 25, 4:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.58%chance

513077

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6420

5689

Will Dome (YC startup) succeed before 2027?

Oct 23, 9:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.31%chance

5550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1192

839

When will Qwen-Image-2.0 weights become publicly available?

Feb 11, 5:07 AMJul 1, 4:06 AM

4528

OptionProbability

July 1, 2027 or later

Jan 1, 2027 – June 30, 2027

July 1, 2026 – Dec 31, 2026

Before July 1, 2026

42

41

11

6

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.91%chance

7487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1319

797

Will a popular forecasting platform accept function definitions as forecasting questions by Jan 1, 2028?

Aug 16, 3:15 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

74.58%chance

11221

OptionVotes

NO

YES

294

136

When will LiquidAI LFM3 be released?

Apr 22, 7:37 AMJul 2, 5:59 AM

130

OptionProbability

Q4 2026

Q1 2027

Q2 2027

Q2 2026

Q3 2026

35

18

18

15

15

Will Stripe acquire Openrouter in 2026?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.85%chance

219

OptionVotes

YES

NO

103

95

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