API Platform News

Will Dome (YC startup) succeed before 2027?

Oct 23, 9:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.31%chance

5550

OptionVotes

YES

1192

839

When will Qwen-Image-2.0 weights become publicly available?

Feb 11, 5:07 AMJul 1, 4:06 AM

4528

OptionProbability

July 1, 2027 or later

Jan 1, 2027 – June 30, 2027

July 1, 2026 – Dec 31, 2026

Before July 1, 2026

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.91%chance

7487

OptionVotes

YES

1319

797

Will a popular forecasting platform accept function definitions as forecasting questions by Jan 1, 2028?

Aug 16, 3:15 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

74.58%chance

11221

OptionVotes

YES

294

136

Will Manifold market exist in 2050?

Sep 11, 6:23 PMDec 31, 7:30 AM

85.42%chance

5144

OptionVotes

YES

242

OpenAI Dev Day 2026 props

Sep 22, 1:09 AMSep 29, 4:59 PM

557

OptionProbability

A heckler interrupts at any point

OpenAI releases a Grok Bot competitor

OpenAI releases or publicly previews “Persistent Mode”

OpenAI perpetuals increase in value by >2% the next 24 hours after the start of Dev Day

OpenAI publicly reveals the form factor or product name of its Jony Ive/LoveFrom consumer AI device

When will LiquidAI LFM3 be released?

Apr 22, 7:37 AMJul 2, 5:59 AM

130

OptionProbability

Q4 2026

Q1 2027

Q2 2027

Q2 2026

Q3 2026

API Platform News

Prediction markets for API Platform

Prediction markets for API Platform

Prediction markets for API Platform

Will Dome (YC startup) succeed before 2027?

When will Qwen-Image-2.0 weights become publicly available?

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Will a popular forecasting platform accept function definitions as forecasting questions by Jan 1, 2028?

Will Manifold market exist in 2050?

OpenAI Dev Day 2026 props

When will LiquidAI LFM3 be released?

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