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Prediction markets for APM

Will consequential atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2040?

Apr 2, 10:01 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

45.13%chance

19957

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1049

927

Will atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2030?

Apr 2, 9:40 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

13.85%chance

16849

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1336

904

Will complex atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2030?

Apr 2, 9:53 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

14.9%chance

8363

OptionVotes

YES

NO

272

107

Will consequential atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2030?

Apr 2, 10:01 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

12.82%chance

15314

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1117

959

can i become x+ rank in tetrio before 2027

Feb 22, 3:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.62%chance

2260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1235

810

Will complex atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2040?

Apr 2, 9:54 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

41.37%chance

13260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

922

When will USA TST APMO scores release?

Mar 23, 2:53 PMMay 1, 3:59 AM

7259

OptionProbability

March 25-27

March 23-24

March 30-31

April 1-3

Later than April 3

March 28-29

35

27

15

12

7

4

Will atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2040?

Apr 2, 9:41 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

59%chance

327

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

80

Can Henry (@arithmoquine) get above 170 APM in starcraft2?

Jul 4, 8:17 PMFeb 23, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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