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Apollo Research News
Prediction markets for Apollo Research
Prediction markets for Apollo Research
Will AGI create a consensus among experts on how to safely increase AI capabilities?
Mar 12, 8:26 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
34.82%
chance
11
970
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1368
731
Will Apollo Research (new AI evals org) shut down before 2028?
Jun 5, 11:00 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
24.23%
chance
13
321
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1197
892
Will Nielsen acknowledge any TV program that isn't a Super Bowl or Mash as receiving >100m viewers by the start of 2030?
Feb 21, 3:46 AM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
43.47%
chance
3
23
Option
Votes
YES
NO
96
84
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