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Prediction markets for APP

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

Jun 23, 7:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.99%chance

5513610

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20519

7234

Frontier LLM mobile apps can be backgrounded mid reasoning in November 2026?

Nov 18, 8:23 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

95.69%chance

235289

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4731

213

Biggest AI romance app more users than biggest human romance app on July 1, 2028?

Jun 27, 9:02 PMJul 1, 11:59 PM

17%chance

172785

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2225

456

Meta (Facebook) launches real money prediction market app by end of 2027?

Jun 23, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.48%chance

232238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1188

842

If I use one of the below domains for my app, will I be happy with the choice by the end of 2026

Feb 23, 3:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51707

OptionProbability

podfactum.com

podatelier.com

podfabrik.com

83

56

54

Will Manifold develop an app for the Apple Vision Pro by EOY 2029?

Feb 4, 5:45 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

12.84%chance

311578

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1995

754

Will there be an AI Companion app (friend, girlfriend, partner etc.) with 500 Million users before 2035? 🤖❤🧍‍♂️🤝💻

Apr 13, 4:57 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

67.81%chance

351265

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1083

932

Will Netflix have a Neuralink app by 2050?

Jan 23, 4:18 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

22.82%chance

241232

OptionVotes

YES

NO

986

980

Will the portion of relationships starting on dating apps peak above 70%?

Apr 14, 8:10 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

74.76%chance

17440

OptionVotes

NO

YES

165

100

At the end of 2028, how many times the price of a basic plumbing job will it cost to develop a simple iPhone app?

Feb 16, 1:17 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

27.91%chance

11411

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1149

928

By 2033, will at least one top-10 dating app allow users to rank people?

Mar 11, 11:47 PMMar 11, 11:59 PM

32%chance

12248

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1121

909

When will my app WalkYourTime reach the first 100 downloads?

Apr 7, 9:41 AMFeb 1, 9:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

May-Aug 2026

Sep-Dec 2026

Jan-Apr 2027

May-Aug 2027

Sep-Dec 2027

Jan-Apr 2028

May-Aug 2028

Sep-Dec 2028

Jan-Apr 2029

May-Aug 2029

Sep-Dec 2029

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

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