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Prediction markets for APP

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

Jun 23, 7:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.08%chance

5312290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19219

7438

Will a major dating app use LLMs to simulate conversations by Valentine's Day 2026?

Feb 14, 1:02 AMFeb 15, 7:59 AM

25.11%chance

278930

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17417

5608

Biggest AI romance app more users than biggest human romance app on July 1, 2028?

Jun 27, 9:02 PMJul 1, 11:59 PM

17.5%chance

162579

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2171

461

Will there be an AI Companion app (friend, girlfriend, partner etc.) with 500 Million users before 2035? 🤖❤🧍‍♂️🤝💻

Apr 13, 4:57 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

67.01%chance

341240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1058

944

Will Netflix have a Neuralink app by 2050?

Jan 23, 4:18 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21.27%chance

231212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1057

960

Will Manifold develop an app for the Apple Vision Pro by EOY 2029?

Feb 4, 5:45 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

17.36%chance

301128

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1545

833

Will the HBO Max app still exist on July 1, 2027?

Dec 5, 8:37 PMJul 1, 8:35 PM

63.52%chance

61054

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1320

758

Will the standalone Hulu app still exist on July 1, 2026?

Aug 9, 5:28 PMJul 1, 11:59 PM

51.84%chance

9945

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1038

964

Will the portion of relationships starting on dating apps peak above 70%?

Apr 14, 8:10 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

74.76%chance

17440

OptionVotes

NO

YES

165

100

At the end of 2028, how many times the price of a basic plumbing job will it cost to develop a simple iPhone app?

Feb 16, 1:17 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

27.91%chance

11411

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1149

928

By 2033, will at least one top-10 dating app allow users to rank people?

Mar 11, 11:47 PMMar 11, 11:59 PM

32%chance

12248

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1121

909

100 monthly users on my 'achievements' journaling app?

May 2, 12:26 AMJul 1, 11:52 PM

51.19%chance

3241

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1024

976

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