OptionProbability
Earbuds
Smart speaker (Amazon Echo-style)
Pen
Other
Phone
AR/VR Goggles
Watch
Wearable badge
46
31
11
9
2
0
Before Jan 2030
Before Jul 2029
Before Jan 2029
Before Jul 2028
Before Jan 2028
Before Jul 2027
Before Jan 2027
Before Jul 2026
90
87
85
73
54
41
33
Meta will launch a standalone prediction market app by end of 2026
Meta's prediction market platform will flop.
Meta will integrate prediction markets into Facebook or Instagram
62
51
47
