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Prediction markets for Apple Global

Which of the 7 current largest companies by market cap will still be in the top 7 EOY 2026

Jan 13, 7:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

82446

OptionProbability

NVIDIA

Alphabet

Apple

Microsoft

Amazon

Broadcom

Tesla

95

89

88

84

75

37

20

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.59%chance

12744

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

884

Will Apple acquire the Globalstar satellite constellation?

Nov 22, 3:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

42.81%chance

11546

OptionVotes

NO

YES

171

162

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?

Apr 17, 7:54 PMDec 14, 12:00 PM

72%chance

14346

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

949

Will Tim Cook (CEO of Apple) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Mar 10, 12:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.28%chance

6213

OptionVotes

YES

NO

361

109

Will Apple source memory chips from a Chinese supplier before 2028?

Jun 27, 6:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65%chance

8164

OptionVotes

NO

YES

136

73

Will a top-20 Super Bowl advertiser air a primarily AI-generated commercial during Super Bowl LXI (Feb 2027)?

Apr 17, 9:34 PMMar 5, 12:00 PM

35.18%chance

670

OptionVotes

NO

YES

215

170

Will Apple Emissions end at?

Mar 8, 9:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Below 0.6

0.06 - 0.07

0.07 - 0.08

0.08 - 0.09

0.09 - 0.10

Above 0.10

17

17

17

17

17

17

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