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Prediction markets for Apple News

Will Kanye perform in the 2027 Super Bowl halftime show?

Mar 3, 2:14 AMFeb 15, 11:59 PM

3%chance

346356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1418

181

What kind of device will the Johnny Ive OpenAI collaboration first release? [Suggest options]

May 22, 7:01 AMDec 31, 7:56 AM

425357

OptionProbability

Smart speaker (Amazon Echo-style)

Pen

Earbuds

Other

AR/VR Goggles

Phone

Watch

Wearable badge

94

4

1

1

0

0

0

0

Will Apple VP of Finance Alex Roman receive any legal penalty for “lying under oath"?

May 1, 10:11 AMJan 1, 10:04 AM

15.77%chance

242953

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2311

433

Apple halves weight of Vision Pro by 2030

Feb 14, 4:50 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.53%chance

512258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

992

984

How many minutes of Harry Potter 2026 series will be streamed in the US in the first year?

Feb 24, 9:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

171082

OptionProbability

>5bn

>8bn

>10bn

>16bn

> 20bn

> 30bn

89

87

79

70

47

29

Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Disney by the end of 2030?

Nov 13, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

32%chance

13938

OptionVotes

NO

YES

176

169

Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Disney by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:29 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.16%chance

13764

OptionVotes

YES

NO

555

18

Will Apple provide the content of an iMessage message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?

Jan 8, 7:34 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

36.12%chance

11684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1330

752

Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Comcast by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.12%chance

11660

OptionVotes

YES

NO

557

18

Will Model Intelligence diverge from consumer market share?

Apr 14, 12:44 AMApr 14, 12:30 AM

665

OptionProbability

Yes

N/A (unclear)

No

60

23

17

Will Apple discontinue its folding phone format by the end of 2030?

Sep 9, 7:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.47%chance

325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

97

How do I disable Apple News notifications for sports and non-news without disabling notifications for actual news?

Jul 27, 3:35 AMJul 27, 6:59 AM

00

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