Applied Materials News

[Metaculus] Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?

Jun 20, 7:27 AMJan 2, 1:00 AM

7.14%chance

1117513

OptionVotes

YES

3607

277

Which of these companies will outperform the S&P 500 in 2026?

Dec 29, 11:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3516254

OptionProbability

Micron Technology (MU)

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

Chevron (CVX)

ExxonMobil (XOM)

Merck & Co. (MRK)

Apple (AAPL)

Applied Materials (AMAT)

Coca-Cola (KO)

Cisco (CSCO)

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)

Philip Morris (PM)

Costco (COST)

Alphabet Class C (GOOG)

Lam Research (LRCX)

UnitedHealth Group (UNH)

Amazon (AMZN)

Walmart (WMT)

Citigroup (C)

Alphabet Class A (GOOGL)

Broadcom (AVGO)

Nvidia (NVDA)

Palantir Technologies (PLTR)

Procter & Gamble (PG)

Morgan Stanley (MS)

Microsoft (MSFT)

Meta Platforms (META)

Caterpillar (CAT)

Eli Lilly (LLY)

Goldman Sachs (GS)

Visa (V)

AbbVie (ABBV)

JPMorgan Chase (JPM)

Bank of America (BAC)

RTX Corporation (RTX)

GE Aerospace (GE)

Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO)

Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B)

Mastercard (MA)

Salesforce (CRM)

Home Depot (HD)

IBM (IBM)

Tesla (TSLA)

T-Mobile US (TMUS)

Abbott Laboratories (ABT)

Wells Fargo (WFC)

Oracle (ORCL)

American Express (AXP)

Netflix (NFLX)

McDonald's (MCD)

AppLovin (APP)

Will an AI be able to keep us laughing out loud by 2028?

Nov 5, 12:24 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

74.49%chance

673848

OptionVotes

YES

1151

927

Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?

Sep 29, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

52.24%chance

251469

OptionVotes

YES

1334

367

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.17%chance

16992

OptionVotes

YES

1100

977

Prop bets: What will prediction markets do to society (add your own)

Feb 17, 6:23 PMDec 31, 6:20 PM

11988

OptionProbability

Create new forms of gambling addiction and financial harm

Provide voting public with better information on candidates chances in elections

Lead to manipulation and misinformation through coordinated betting

Increase polarization by incentivizing extreme predictions

Provide public with better information about impact of policies and new legislation

Bring Jeffrey epstein back to life

Make me the President of USA

Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?

Jan 31, 8:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.61%chance

17461

OptionVotes

YES

1173

596

Trump admin member or their immediate family member indicted for insider trading before 2027?

Jul 11, 6:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.71%chance

13202

OptionVotes

YES

208

Now Sony buys Fox Corporation in 2033 in networks

Feb 10, 3:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.24%chance

6118

OptionVotes

YES

137

Will a frontier AI lab publish recurring governance metrics with capability benchmarks in one document by 2026-12-31?

Jul 16, 1:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

124

OptionVotes

YES

124

Will the HAL AMCA have entered service in India by the end of 2035?

Jun 6, 9:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

Applied Materials News

Prediction markets for Applied Materials

Prediction markets for Applied Materials

Prediction markets for Applied Materials

[Metaculus] Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?

Which of these companies will outperform the S&P 500 in 2026?

Will an AI be able to keep us laughing out loud by 2028?

Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Prop bets: What will prediction markets do to society (add your own)

Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?

Trump admin member or their immediate family member indicted for insider trading before 2027?

Now Sony buys Fox Corporation in 2033 in networks

Will a frontier AI lab publish recurring governance metrics with capability benchmarks in one document by 2026-12-31?

Will the HAL AMCA have entered service in India by the end of 2035?

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