Applied Materials News

[Metaculus] Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?

Jun 20, 7:27 AMJan 2, 1:00 AM

7.14%chance

1117513

OptionVotes

YES

3607

277

Will Zohran Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Nov 8, 8:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

93.08%chance

3216242

OptionVotes

YES

3670

273

Which of these companies will outperform the S&P 500 in 2026?

Dec 29, 11:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3514926

OptionProbability

Micron Technology (MU)

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

Applied Materials (AMAT)

ExxonMobil (XOM)

Lam Research (LRCX)

Alphabet Class A (GOOGL)

Alphabet Class C (GOOG)

Caterpillar (CAT)

Chevron (CVX)

Costco (COST)

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)

Walmart (WMT)

Amazon (AMZN)

UnitedHealth Group (UNH)

Coca-Cola (KO)

Merck & Co. (MRK)

Nvidia (NVDA)

Citigroup (C)

Cisco (CSCO)

Broadcom (AVGO)

Apple (AAPL)

Morgan Stanley (MS)

Philip Morris (PM)

Goldman Sachs (GS)

Procter & Gamble (PG)

T-Mobile US (TMUS)

Netflix (NFLX)

Eli Lilly (LLY)

RTX Corporation (RTX)

GE Aerospace (GE)

McDonald's (MCD)

Meta Platforms (META)

Tesla (TSLA)

JPMorgan Chase (JPM)

Bank of America (BAC)

Home Depot (HD)

AbbVie (ABBV)

Palantir Technologies (PLTR)

Visa (V)

American Express (AXP)

Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B)

Mastercard (MA)

Microsoft (MSFT)

Oracle (ORCL)

Salesforce (CRM)

AppLovin (APP)

Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO)

Wells Fargo (WFC)

IBM (IBM)

Abbott Laboratories (ABT)

Will an AI be able to keep us laughing out loud by 2028?

Nov 5, 12:24 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

75.31%chance

663836

OptionVotes

YES

1186

915

Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?

Sep 29, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

52.24%chance

251469

OptionVotes

YES

1334

367

Prop bets: What will prediction markets do to society (add your own)

Feb 17, 6:23 PMDec 31, 6:20 PM

11988

OptionProbability

Create new forms of gambling addiction and financial harm

Provide voting public with better information on candidates chances in elections

Lead to manipulation and misinformation through coordinated betting

Increase polarization by incentivizing extreme predictions

Provide public with better information about impact of policies and new legislation

Bring Jeffrey epstein back to life

Make me the President of USA

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.59%chance

12744

OptionVotes

YES

1031

884

Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?

Jan 31, 8:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.61%chance

17461

OptionVotes

YES

1173

596

Will any AI model released before 2028 reach an Epoch general ECI of at least 200?

Aug 8, 7:13 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

23.83%chance

3350

OptionVotes

YES

6344

4662

Trump admin member or their immediate family member indicted for insider trading before 2027?

Jul 11, 6:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.71%chance

13202

OptionVotes

YES

208

Now Sony buys Fox Corporation in 2033 in networks

Feb 10, 3:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.24%chance

6118

OptionVotes

YES

137

Will the HAL AMCA have entered service in India by the end of 2035?

Jun 6, 9:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

Applied Materials News

Prediction markets for Applied Materials

Prediction markets for Applied Materials

Prediction markets for Applied Materials

[Metaculus] Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?

Will Zohran Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Which of these companies will outperform the S&P 500 in 2026?

Will an AI be able to keep us laughing out loud by 2028?

Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?

Prop bets: What will prediction markets do to society (add your own)

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?

Will any AI model released before 2028 reach an Epoch general ECI of at least 200?

Trump admin member or their immediate family member indicted for insider trading before 2027?

Now Sony buys Fox Corporation in 2033 in networks

Will the HAL AMCA have entered service in India by the end of 2035?

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