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Apt News

Will the global tungsten APT price exceed $1,350/mtu by May 20, 2026?

Feb 19, 9:01 PMMay 20, 9:01 PM

94.64%chance

53622

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4201

238

Will an LLM be able to solve the Self-Referential Aptitude Test before 2027?

Apr 11, 11:08 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

78.76%chance

151807

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1561

776

Will SUI and APTOS blockchains merge into a single network by December 31st, 2026?

Aug 27, 5:03 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

32.63%chance

4440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1437

696

Will the Emperor Penguin (Aptenodytes forsteri) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 29, 9:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

61.53%chance

6236

OptionVotes

YES

NO

523

429

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

48.12%chance

4157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1091

1011

Will Jinba Bowe tungsten export suspension impact on APT prices exceed 5 percent increase on May 31, 2026?

Mar 4, 6:07 PMMay 31, 6:07 PM

80%chance

1100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

50

Will APT price effect due to Sangdong mine's production commencement exceed 450 USD/mtu on May 31, 2026?

Mar 4, 9:04 AMMay 31, 9:04 AM

80%chance

1100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

50

Will Jinba Bowe tungsten export suspension impact on APT prices exceed 15 percent increase on May 31, 2026?

Mar 4, 6:07 PMMay 31, 6:07 PM

25.71%chance

170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

Will APT price effect due to Sangdong mine's production commencement exceed 500 USD/mtu on May 31, 2026?

Mar 4, 9:04 AMMay 31, 9:04 AM

67.84%chance

255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

145

69

Will Jinba Bowe tungsten export suspension impact on APT prices exceed 10 percent increase on May 31, 2026?

Mar 4, 6:07 PMMay 31, 6:07 PM

37.17%chance

130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Will APT price effect due to Sangdong mine's production commencement exceed 600 USD/mtu on May 31, 2026?

Mar 4, 9:04 AMMay 31, 9:04 AM

39.02%chance

225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

Will APT price effect due to Sangdong mine's production commencement exceed 550 USD/mtu on May 31, 2026?

Mar 4, 9:04 AMMay 31, 9:04 AM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

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