Archive News

Who will play Kaladin in Apple’s film adaptation of The Stormlight Archives?

Jan 29, 6:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33291

OptionProbability

Other

Paul Mescal

Dallas Liu

Henry Cavill

Timothée Chalamet

Simu Liu

Rami Malek

Riz Ahmed

Tom Holland

Chris Pratt

Dev Patel

astral.sh acquisition market

Mar 19, 5:50 PMDec 31, 6:44 PM

123260

OptionProbability

uv remains MIT-licensed

ruff remains MIT-licensed

Astral's GitHub org remains a distinct and active entity

uv ships an OpenAI-specific integration or feature

ruff ships an OpenAI-specific integration or feature

uv adds telemetry that sends data to OpenAI

ruff adds telemetry that sends data to OpenAI

OpenAI/Astral publicly deprecates or archives any current Astral project (uv, ruff, ty)

A credible fork of uv reaches >10% of uv's monthly downloads

Merger does not go through

OpenAI releases a product named "Astral Codex"

When will Archive of Our Own (AO3) be back online?

Oct 29, 7:05 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

112846

OptionProbability

Before December 25 2026

Before December 20 2026

Before December 15 2026

Before December 10 2026

Before December 5 2026

Before December 1 2026

Before November 25 2026

Before November 20 2026

Before November 15 2026

Before November 10 2026

Before November 5 2026

Before November 1 2026

Will Hachette v. Internet Archive be heard by the Supreme Court?

Mar 25, 4:26 AMJan 1, 1:00 PM

8%chance

232206

OptionVotes

YES

2818

588

Will the Internet Archive be available in 2046?

Mar 19, 12:52 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

78.62%chance

391186

OptionVotes

YES

2064

1751

Will I find a way to archive Mojang's JIRA/Atlassian instance before it goes down? (Please make suggestions.)

Jun 19, 12:59 AMJan 2, 1:55 AM

39.6%chance

51081

OptionVotes

YES

1235

810

Mistborn/Stormlight Archive TV show/movie begins filming by EOY 2028?

Jan 28, 10:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.13%chance

10435

OptionVotes

YES

1154

651

Will Anna's Archive be permanently down by the end of the 2027?

Dec 23, 1:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.81%chance

12381

OptionVotes

YES

143

What is the cause of the October 2026 Archive of Our Own outage?

Oct 29, 7:08 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

6347

OptionProbability

Cybersecurity vulnerabilities

Ransomware

Database issues

Malware

Server hardware failures

100

Will the Charters of Freedom be damaged or taken from the National Archives Building during Trump's term?

Aug 6, 8:11 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

23.45%chance

10258

OptionVotes

YES

181

Will automation software let me automatically archive my entire Facebook feed by 2026? (with comment threads)?

Feb 8, 7:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.86%chance

7215

OptionVotes

YES

227

140

By 2028, will there be a significant global initiative to create and maintain a dedicated archive of pre-2020s internet?

Nov 13, 3:46 PMDec 31, 10:03 PM

60.85%chance

665

OptionVotes

YES

147

117

Archive News

Prediction markets for Archive

Prediction markets for Archive

Prediction markets for Archive

Who will play Kaladin in Apple’s film adaptation of The Stormlight Archives?

astral.sh acquisition market

When will Archive of Our Own (AO3) be back online?

Will Hachette v. Internet Archive be heard by the Supreme Court?

Will the Internet Archive be available in 2046?

Will I find a way to archive Mojang's JIRA/Atlassian instance before it goes down? (Please make suggestions.)

Mistborn/Stormlight Archive TV show/movie begins filming by EOY 2028?

Will Anna's Archive be permanently down by the end of the 2027?

What is the cause of the October 2026 Archive of Our Own outage?

Will the Charters of Freedom be damaged or taken from the National Archives Building during Trump's term?

Will automation software let me automatically archive my entire Facebook feed by 2026? (with comment threads)?

By 2028, will there be a significant global initiative to create and maintain a dedicated archive of pre-2020s internet?

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