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Ares Industries News
Prediction markets for Ares Industries
Prediction markets for Ares Industries
Benchmark Gap #3: Once a model achieves superhuman performance on a competitive programming benchmark, will it be less than 2 years before there are "entry level" AI programmers in industry use?
Apr 8, 6:06 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
78%
chance
16
943
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1382
859
Once a model achieves superhuman performance on a competitive programming benchmark, will it be less than 5 years before there are "entry level" AI programmers in industry use?
Apr 8, 6:37 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
91.85%
chance
16
610
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1169
959
Will an Ares Industries missile be used by the United States against a foreign enemy ship in combat by the end of 2028?
Aug 27, 12:46 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
52.77%
chance
2
90
Option
Votes
NO
YES
106
95
Will an Ares Industries missile be used by the United States against a foreign enemy ship in combat by the end of 2027?
Aug 26, 10:54 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
31.16%
chance
4
50
Option
Votes
YES
NO
149
67
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