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Prediction markets for Argus

Vanadium in VRFBs reach 20% of global vanadium consumption by 2030?

Nov 26, 5:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.88%chance

91533

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1109

903

Will the global tungsten APT price exceed $1,350/mtu by May 20, 2026?

Feb 19, 9:01 PMMay 20, 9:01 PM

62.07%chance

4543

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1279

782

Will global vanadium production (mine + co-product, contained V) in 2027 be at least 140,000 tonnes of V?

Nov 26, 5:36 AMMar 29, 10:59 PM

45.27%chance

6255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

Will the TTM tantalum concentrate import price exceed 155 USD/lb on April 1, 2026?

Mar 2, 6:07 PMApr 1, 6:07 PM

26.61%chance

2144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

51

Highest-altitude nuclear explosion record broken before 2035?

Jul 23, 9:33 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

33.35%chance

591

OptionVotes

YES

NO

141

71

Which of the Schmidt Sciences astronomy projects will be completed by 2031?

Jan 9, 10:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

144

OptionProbability

Argus Array

Deep Synoptic Array

Large Fiber Array Spectroscopic Telescope

Lazuli Space Observatory

72

56

39

24

Will tantalum prices exceed $600/kg in Europe by June 30, 2026?

Mar 2, 3:07 PMJun 30, 3:07 PM

66.32%chance

230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

81

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