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Prediction markets for Aries Markets

Hezbollah disarms by EOY 2026?

Sep 5, 7:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.12%chance

112657

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2693

371

If Ukraine accepts the peace deal Russia offers, will Russia keep it for at least 30 years?

Mar 8, 9:56 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

53.88%chance

352392

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1355

256

Will Boeing declare bankruptcy or shut down before the end of 2026?

Mar 18, 8:55 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

5.14%chance

171379

OptionVotes

YES

NO

735

105

Which POV character will have the most chapters in "The Winds of Winter" by George R.R. Martin?

Aug 24, 4:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

5710

OptionProbability

Tyrion Lannister

Arya Stark

Jon Snow

Daenerys Targaryen

Cersei Lannister

Other

Arianne Martell

35

13

13

13

10

10

5

Which POV character will have the fewest chapters in "The Winds of Winter" (excl. Prologue/Epilogue/characters with 0)?

Aug 24, 4:38 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

475

OptionProbability

Areo Hotah

Other

Samwell Tarly

Aeron Greyjoy

Victarion Greyjoy

Melisandre

Bran Stark

Barristan Selmy

22

13

12

11

11

11

11

10

What genre will Ari Aster’s next announced feature film be?

Aug 3, 2:09 AMJan 2, 3:09 AM

170

OptionProbability

Other

Horror

Sci-fi

Eddington sequel (including spiritual or narrative continuation)

54

20

20

6

Are ancient afterlife myths interpretations of near death experiences?

Oct 20, 2:49 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

61.9%chance

427

OptionVotes

NO

YES

127

78

Will Wrocław [PL] public transit implement AI-based flex routing or DRT by the end of 2035?

Sep 5, 6:50 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

39.16%chance

316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

124

99

Will I try lutefisk before I try haggis?

Mar 13, 5:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.06%chance

115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

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