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Prediction markets for Aries Markets

If Ukraine accepts the peace deal Russia offers, will Russia keep it for at least 30 years?

Mar 8, 9:56 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

51%chance

362467

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1327

281

Will Boeing declare bankruptcy or shut down before the end of 2026?

Mar 18, 8:55 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

5.24%chance

181388

OptionVotes

YES

NO

725

105

Avengers Doomsday to be delayed

Apr 6, 3:19 PMDec 30, 12:00 AM

92.8%chance

181066

OptionVotes

NO

YES

359

28

Which POV character will have the most chapters in "The Winds of Winter" by George R.R. Martin?

Aug 24, 4:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

5750

OptionProbability

Tyrion Lannister

Jon Snow

Daenerys Targaryen

Arya Stark

Other

Cersei Lannister

Arianne Martell

32

18

13

12

11

9

5

Will there be a government shutdown before January 2027?

May 13, 8:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48%chance

5100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

Which POV character will have the fewest chapters in "The Winds of Winter" (excl. Prologue/Epilogue/characters with 0)?

Aug 24, 4:38 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

475

OptionProbability

Areo Hotah

Other

Samwell Tarly

Aeron Greyjoy

Victarion Greyjoy

Melisandre

Bran Stark

Barristan Selmy

22

13

12

11

11

11

11

10

What genre will Ari Aster’s next announced feature film be?

Aug 3, 2:09 AMJan 2, 3:09 AM

170

OptionProbability

Other

Horror

Sci-fi

Eddington sequel (including spiritual or narrative continuation)

54

20

20

6

Are ancient afterlife myths interpretations of near death experiences?

Oct 20, 2:49 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

61.31%chance

528

OptionVotes

NO

YES

126

79

Will Wrocław [PL] public transit implement AI-based flex routing or DRT by the end of 2035?

Sep 5, 6:50 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

39.16%chance

316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

124

99

Will I try lutefisk before I try haggis?

Mar 13, 5:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.06%chance

115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

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