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Prediction markets for ARISE
OptionVotes
1036
945
Which 2025 action anime TV show will have the highest score on AniList?
Aug 23, 3:02 AMFeb 1, 6:59 AM
113442
OptionProbability
47
12
10
10
7
5
3
2
2
2
OptionProbability
69
21
6
3
2
[Add options] What words will be contained in the final name of Sultana/Corbyn's "Your Party"?
Jul 24, 10:12 PMDec 31, 11:02 PM
153008
OptionProbability
76
53
41
40
25
24
23
16
15
15
15
14
10
10
9
9
7
7
6
6
6
5
5
5
4
4
1
Which 2025 fantasy anime TV show will have the highest score on AniList?
Sep 4, 7:14 AMFeb 1, 6:59 AM
72677
OptionProbability
80
6
3
3
3
2
2
1
OptionProbability
60
48
47
41
41
35
34
34
34
33
30
25
25
Which of the following ACX Grants Impact Certificates will be bought back at a higher value than they were sold for?
Mar 7, 5:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
8199
OptionProbability
75
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
47
40
37
37
37
37
37
37
37
37
37
37
If polio is reintroduced in the Americas until Aug 25th, 2029, through which country will it happen?
Jul 8, 10:15 AMAug 26, 2:59 AM
4150
OptionProbability
46
38
12
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
48
26
24
20
10
Will William Eden's kids get proper aristocratic tutoring sourced in part by Erik Hoel?
Sep 21, 11:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
20%chance
150
OptionVotes
120
45
Will "Aristocracy and Hostage Capital" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Jan 13, 2:13 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
11%chance
127
OptionVotes
127
96
Will Hogaak, Arisen Necropolis be unbanned in Modern by the end of 2025?
Oct 19, 4:36 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
1.83%chance
26
OptionVotes
76
70